Lots going on over the next few days. TAM (11-6), Miss (11-6), LSU (10-6) and UGA (11-7) are all within a game of each other and will be the 3, 4, 5, and 6 seeds in the SECT. I was looking at tie breaking scenarios and it appears that the tie break for multiple tied teams is the win % among the tied teams. Considering that, here's where we stand.
Remaining Schedule:
TAM: vs. Alabama
Miss: vs Vandy
LSU: vs UT and @ Ark
UGA: @ AU
Here's some scenarios:
4-Way Tie
TAM is 2-2 vs tied teams
LSU is 3-2
Miss is 1-4
UGA is 3-1
So, UGA wins the tie breaker if there is a 4-way tie because they would have the highest win %. They would get the 3 seed in that scenario, followed by LSU, TAM, and Miss.
3-Way Ties
Between UGA / LSU / Miss:
TAM gets the 3 seed with a better record. The next seeds go to LSU (3-0 vs tied teams), UGA (2-1), and then Miss (0-4). Dawgs get the 5 seed.
Between UGA / TAM / Miss:
LSU gets the 3 seed (if they go 2-0 in last two games) or 6 seed (if they go 0-2). The other 3 seeds go to: UGA (3-0), Miss (1-2), and then TAM (0-2). Dawgs get the 4 seed (if LSU is 3) or the 3 seed (if LSU is 6).
Between UGA / LSU / TAM:
Miss would get the 3 seed with a better record. The next 3 seeds go to: TAM (2-1), UGA (1-1), and then LSU (1-2). Dawgs get the 5 seed.
SO....it looks like the Dawgs will be looking at seeds 3, 4, or 5 IF we have to go to tie breakers. Of course, the more likely seed is still the 6 seed if you believe Miss will beat Vandy and TAM will beat Bama. Dawgs obviously lose the head to head with LSU and win with Miss and TAM.
I think it's likely Ark beats LSU on Saturday and you never know about UT / LSU tonight. Let's say they go 11-7 as do the Dawgs. Then it all boils down to two games - TAM / Bama and Miss / Vandy.
So would you rather be the 6 seed and likely face SCjr in the second round, or would you rather be the 4 or 5 seed and potentially face UK earlier in the tourney?
*****CAVEAT****** Obviously all of the above is predicated upon UGA beating AU Saturday which isn't a given, but I think is likely.
This post was edited on 3/4 8:31 AM by fdawg1103
Remaining Schedule:
TAM: vs. Alabama
Miss: vs Vandy
LSU: vs UT and @ Ark
UGA: @ AU
Here's some scenarios:
4-Way Tie
TAM is 2-2 vs tied teams
LSU is 3-2
Miss is 1-4
UGA is 3-1
So, UGA wins the tie breaker if there is a 4-way tie because they would have the highest win %. They would get the 3 seed in that scenario, followed by LSU, TAM, and Miss.
3-Way Ties
Between UGA / LSU / Miss:
TAM gets the 3 seed with a better record. The next seeds go to LSU (3-0 vs tied teams), UGA (2-1), and then Miss (0-4). Dawgs get the 5 seed.
Between UGA / TAM / Miss:
LSU gets the 3 seed (if they go 2-0 in last two games) or 6 seed (if they go 0-2). The other 3 seeds go to: UGA (3-0), Miss (1-2), and then TAM (0-2). Dawgs get the 4 seed (if LSU is 3) or the 3 seed (if LSU is 6).
Between UGA / LSU / TAM:
Miss would get the 3 seed with a better record. The next 3 seeds go to: TAM (2-1), UGA (1-1), and then LSU (1-2). Dawgs get the 5 seed.
SO....it looks like the Dawgs will be looking at seeds 3, 4, or 5 IF we have to go to tie breakers. Of course, the more likely seed is still the 6 seed if you believe Miss will beat Vandy and TAM will beat Bama. Dawgs obviously lose the head to head with LSU and win with Miss and TAM.
I think it's likely Ark beats LSU on Saturday and you never know about UT / LSU tonight. Let's say they go 11-7 as do the Dawgs. Then it all boils down to two games - TAM / Bama and Miss / Vandy.
So would you rather be the 6 seed and likely face SCjr in the second round, or would you rather be the 4 or 5 seed and potentially face UK earlier in the tourney?
*****CAVEAT****** Obviously all of the above is predicated upon UGA beating AU Saturday which isn't a given, but I think is likely.
This post was edited on 3/4 8:31 AM by fdawg1103
