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Chat GPT Ranks the top-15 (by using a transparent & objective formula)

BulldawginNorCal

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Nov 12, 2016
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Logic & Formulas:

1. Win-Loss Record (25% weighting)
  • Importance: A team’s overall performance, measured by wins and losses, is the first and most fundamental indicator.
  • Why: It reflects how well a team has performed across the season.
  • Formula: Wins / Total Games Played

2. Strength of Schedule (30% weighting)
  • Importance: The difficulty of a team’s schedule directly impacts the evaluation of their performance. A team with a strong record but an easy schedule might not be as strong as a team with more losses but a tougher schedule.
  • Why: Teams that face more ranked or competitive opponents are tested more rigorously, which should be factored into their ranking.
  • Formula: Sum of Opponents' Wins / Number of Games

3. Score Differential (20% weighting)
  • Importance: This metric accounts for how dominant or resilient a team is. A team that wins by large margins is generally stronger than one that wins by a narrow margin.
  • Why: A higher score differential can indicate a team’s ability to perform against both weaker and stronger opponents.
  • Formula: Total Points Scored - Total Points Allowed / Games Played

4. Record Against Common Opponents (25% weighting)
  • Importance: This metric ensures teams that have faced the same opponents can be compared head-to-head.
  • Why: It provides insight into how teams stack up against similar competition, excluding outliers in the schedule.
  • Formula: Games Won vs. Common Opponents / Total Common Opponents

Composite Score Calculation
To calculate an overall score for each team, the four factors would be weighted as follows:

Composite Score = (0.25 X Win-Loss Rank) + (0.30 X Strength of Schedule) + (0.20 X Score Differential) + (0.25 X Record Against Common Opponents)

Each team’s composite score would be calculated, and teams would be ranked from highest to lowest composite score.

Rankings:
  1. Oregon (11-0)
  2. Ohio State (9-1)
  3. Texas (9-1)
  4. Penn State (9-1)
  5. Indiana (10-0)
  6. Georgia (8-2)
  7. Notre Dame (9-1)
  8. Alabama (8-2)
  9. Ole Miss (8-2)
  10. Tennessee (8-2)
  11. Miami (FL) (9-1)
  12. Boise State (9-1)
  13. SMU (9-1)
  14. BYU (9-1)
  15. Texas A&M (8-2)
 
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