Logic & Formulas:
1. Win-Loss Record (25% weighting)
2. Strength of Schedule (30% weighting)
3. Score Differential (20% weighting)
4. Record Against Common Opponents (25% weighting)
Composite Score Calculation
To calculate an overall score for each team, the four factors would be weighted as follows:
Composite Score = (0.25 X Win-Loss Rank) + (0.30 X Strength of Schedule) + (0.20 X Score Differential) + (0.25 X Record Against Common Opponents)
Each team’s composite score would be calculated, and teams would be ranked from highest to lowest composite score.
Rankings:
1. Win-Loss Record (25% weighting)
- Importance: A team’s overall performance, measured by wins and losses, is the first and most fundamental indicator.
- Why: It reflects how well a team has performed across the season.
- Formula: Wins / Total Games Played
2. Strength of Schedule (30% weighting)
- Importance: The difficulty of a team’s schedule directly impacts the evaluation of their performance. A team with a strong record but an easy schedule might not be as strong as a team with more losses but a tougher schedule.
- Why: Teams that face more ranked or competitive opponents are tested more rigorously, which should be factored into their ranking.
- Formula: Sum of Opponents' Wins / Number of Games
3. Score Differential (20% weighting)
- Importance: This metric accounts for how dominant or resilient a team is. A team that wins by large margins is generally stronger than one that wins by a narrow margin.
- Why: A higher score differential can indicate a team’s ability to perform against both weaker and stronger opponents.
- Formula: Total Points Scored - Total Points Allowed / Games Played
4. Record Against Common Opponents (25% weighting)
- Importance: This metric ensures teams that have faced the same opponents can be compared head-to-head.
- Why: It provides insight into how teams stack up against similar competition, excluding outliers in the schedule.
- Formula: Games Won vs. Common Opponents / Total Common Opponents
Composite Score Calculation
To calculate an overall score for each team, the four factors would be weighted as follows:
Composite Score = (0.25 X Win-Loss Rank) + (0.30 X Strength of Schedule) + (0.20 X Score Differential) + (0.25 X Record Against Common Opponents)
Each team’s composite score would be calculated, and teams would be ranked from highest to lowest composite score.
Rankings:
- Oregon (11-0)
- Ohio State (9-1)
- Texas (9-1)
- Penn State (9-1)
- Indiana (10-0)
- Georgia (8-2)
- Notre Dame (9-1)
- Alabama (8-2)
- Ole Miss (8-2)
- Tennessee (8-2)
- Miami (FL) (9-1)
- Boise State (9-1)
- SMU (9-1)
- BYU (9-1)
- Texas A&M (8-2)