here's some basic math for you. Let's say that our offense runs 73 plays per game. Let's say that with our dynamics (Schotty's philosophy + strength at OL and RB+ question marks at qb and wr) and with likely an abundance of late game leads... we'll run the ball 60% of the time. Okay, that means about 44 carries split between our backs per game. Now, Chubb carried the ball 186 times during the regular season last year. For Chubb to get fewer carries this year, he will have to average fewer than 15.5 carries per game. Let's just say it's a fraction less, and make it 15 even... which would translate to less than 21 percent (rounded up) of the team's touches and just over a third of the team's carries. Now go find a great team (even one that had depth), who had a once in a generation type talent (and since we've had a few recently, I think some of us don't understand the scope of how rare a Nick Chubb is), who was that stingy with letting their star touch the ball. Even Trent Richardson had over 20 carries a game on that 2011 Bama team, with an insane backfield. A team we'll be very similar to, philosophically. And mind you, we're talking about the best conditioned guy (Chubb) on the team, who gets stronger with carries.
I think many of you are allowing conventional rhetoric to cloud your common sense. Yeah, I expect other guys to get plenty of carries... but not 2/3 of them... come on.
I think many of you are allowing conventional rhetoric to cloud your common sense. Yeah, I expect other guys to get plenty of carries... but not 2/3 of them... come on.
Last edited:
