Current CFP Rankings
1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Texas
4. Penn State
5. Indiana
6. Notre Dame
7. Alabama
8. Miami
9. Ole Miss
10. Georgia
11. Tennessee
12. Boise State
The Committee has effectively said that Georgia has a ceiling of one spot behind Alabama and Ole Miss if everyone finishes 10-2. We also have a floor of one spot ahead of Tennessee.
If chalk holds, Georgia will not host a home game. The Dawgs likely need to win the SECCG to avoid being on the road. Please see THIS THREAD FOR SCENARIOS.
For this weekend, here's what we need to root for and why:
Feel free to push back on any of these, I'm happy to be wrong/re-convinced.
My goal is a home game because we are perilously close to being the #9 seed, which is the worst spot to be, as you are still on the road and earn a date with likely Oregon/Ohio State in the Rose Bowl if you beat the #8 seed.
To that end, my goal is to crawl up as many spots as possible and hope for the #7 seed while missing the SECCG, or winning the SECCG and likely getting #2/3.
1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Texas
4. Penn State
5. Indiana
6. Notre Dame
7. Alabama
8. Miami
9. Ole Miss
10. Georgia
11. Tennessee
12. Boise State
The Committee has effectively said that Georgia has a ceiling of one spot behind Alabama and Ole Miss if everyone finishes 10-2. We also have a floor of one spot ahead of Tennessee.
If chalk holds, Georgia will not host a home game. The Dawgs likely need to win the SECCG to avoid being on the road. Please see THIS THREAD FOR SCENARIOS.
For this weekend, here's what we need to root for and why:
- Georgia over UMass handily - we have to be 10-2 to get in and the playoff committee chair praised Alabama's 52-7 win over Mercer, so this can't be a 38-10 "take your foot off the gas" type of game. We need to absolutely throttle them.
- Ohio State over Indiana handily - I am not convinced we'd still be ahead of a 2-loss Ohio State team and they will 100% make the playoff. Indiana will absolutely be ahead of us if they win. If this loss eliminated tOSU, I'd root for Indiana but that's not the case. By beating Indiana by 2+ scores, Indiana will fall behind Georgia and we move up >1 spot.
- Army over Notre Dame - with this loss, Notre Dame would fall behind Georgia. I do not believe it would be enough for Army to somehow jump us.
- Florida over Ole Miss - I know, I know. But the committee is concerned with number of losses first. If Ole Miss loses, we move up at least one over them.
- Wake Forest over Miami - self-explanatory, if Miami loses they are going to drop below us. We would move up >1 spot
- Virginia over SMU - self-explanatory, if SMU loses they are going to drop which will give us some protection if they win the ACCG.
- Rutgers over Illinois - Illinois is ranked this week and the fewer B1G teams that stay ranked, the weaker those teams' resumes will look.
- Kentucky over Texas - This will force Texas into the quagmire with us and we have the H2H over them. It also opens up a tiebreaker scenario (see the above thread) where we clinch a spot in the SECCG.
- Minnesota over Penn State - this would drop Penn State below us as their wins are nonexistent and this would be a worse loss than we have.
- Mississippi State over Missouri - one of the SECCG scenarios involves Missouri losing out, so this would be necessary. It also removes a "good win" from various similarly ranked teams' resumes.
- Oklahoma over Alabama - This would drop Alabama below us, eliminate them from the Playoffs, and guarantee Georgia a spot in the SECCG.
- Auburn vs. Texas A&M - please see THIS THREAD for the guide on this. Auburn/A&M is a night game so depending on how the earlier games go will impact our rooting interest. I will update this in live time.
Feel free to push back on any of these, I'm happy to be wrong/re-convinced.
My goal is a home game because we are perilously close to being the #9 seed, which is the worst spot to be, as you are still on the road and earn a date with likely Oregon/Ohio State in the Rose Bowl if you beat the #8 seed.
To that end, my goal is to crawl up as many spots as possible and hope for the #7 seed while missing the SECCG, or winning the SECCG and likely getting #2/3.
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