Been thinking about this the last couple of days. We are at a point now where there are only a handful of reasonable outcomes to the season before the playoff is set. So how would you order these 11 outcomes in terms of worthiness of playoff inclusion?
I'm pretty convinced the top 4 are as I have listed, but 5-9 get really muddled and it ultimately comes down to how much weight you place on conference championships, the FSU dilemma, and in the case of Bama / Texas, the head to head back in week 2. I don't think the bottom 2 have any prayer of getting in but listed them anyway.
13-0 UGA: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs / eye test
13-0 Wash: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs
13-0 Mich: 3 Top 25 wins / Conference Champs / early eye test, less so recently
12-1 Bama: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 10
13-0 FSU: 2 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs
12-1 UGA: 2 Top 15 wins / Loss is Top 5 / eye test
12-1 Wash: 2 Top 15 wins / Loss is Top 10
12-1 Texas: 1 Top 5 win / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 15 / eye test lately
12-1 Oregon: 1-2 Top 25 wins / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 10 / eye test
11-1 OSU: 2 Top 25 Wins / Loss is Top 5
12-1 FSU: 1 Top 15 win / Loss is Top 15
Thoughts?
I'm pretty convinced the top 4 are as I have listed, but 5-9 get really muddled and it ultimately comes down to how much weight you place on conference championships, the FSU dilemma, and in the case of Bama / Texas, the head to head back in week 2. I don't think the bottom 2 have any prayer of getting in but listed them anyway.
13-0 UGA: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs / eye test
13-0 Wash: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs
13-0 Mich: 3 Top 25 wins / Conference Champs / early eye test, less so recently
12-1 Bama: 3 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 10
13-0 FSU: 2 Top 15 wins / Conference Champs
12-1 UGA: 2 Top 15 wins / Loss is Top 5 / eye test
12-1 Wash: 2 Top 15 wins / Loss is Top 10
12-1 Texas: 1 Top 5 win / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 15 / eye test lately
12-1 Oregon: 1-2 Top 25 wins / Conference Champs / Loss is Top 10 / eye test
11-1 OSU: 2 Top 25 Wins / Loss is Top 5
12-1 FSU: 1 Top 15 win / Loss is Top 15
Thoughts?