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NYT

Do they tell the truth (if they ever did)?

Here’s another question. It is consensus that Trump has made up double digit ground relative to 2020 with:

-unions (less cash in their pocket / border)
-Jews (dem tepid support for Israel)
-Arabs (dems tepid support for Israel)
-blacks (less cash / border)
-Hispanics (less cash)
-Gen Z (cash, good jobs in chosen field)

These are gigantic demos. Guessing a double digit gain here translates to tens of millions of votes. So here’s the question:

Given his gains across these lines that are in play in every State….What in the modeling for polls makes this race a toss up?

I’m not even saying the polls are intentionally leaning one way or another. I’m just saying that these data points don’t jive at all.

Now ask yourself who has the most money / resources and the motivation to have the most accurate data? The campaigns themselves right?

You think there might be a reason for reported panic, the media 180, the demands for another debate even though she won the first one and would seemingly want to sit on that W? And the specific articles mentioning internal polling?
 
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