Predictions on Trump Presidency with control of Congress......

[-lowcountrydawg]

Feel free to call me out, bump in the future. Will see how I did....

Fears of "Revenge" or "end of democracy"

Totally unfounded. Truth will bear out that lawfare and other attempts to remove Trump were more of a threat to democracy. He isn't going to waste his time going after political enemies. "The enemy from within".....gonna use the Military on US Citizens. Absolutely ridiculous. Trump will continue to piss people off with rhetoric, offend, outrage, etc, etc. That's who he is. Sometimes intentional and effectively in terms of angling for something. Sometimes not. But democracy was never in trouble when he got elected. He isn't Hitler. He's not a facist (although most who say that don't know what it means).

Abortion

Nothing happens here. No abortion ban. Literallly, nothing. Everything stays the same.

Inflation / Economy / Spending

The rate of inflation will continue to ride in the low 2% range. But anyone who thinks Trump can magically bring prices down to where they were doesn't know how sticky things like rents are. He will be effective in keeping energy prices low because his policy will maximize domestic oil production and remove red tape so energy supply breaks records by a very large margin. That will help with other items as well. Furthermore, removing regulations will increase production and improve the supply chain. Rents are going to increase because the fed effectively put a two year pause on new apartment construction by making the cost of capital so high that developers haven't been able to capitalize projects the last 24 months. Housing prices won't go down, but the cost to own housing should as interest rates come down.

One of the reasons mortgage rates will come down (in addition to the fed) is that Trump will engage a team of experienced CEO's (not just Elon) to get to work on making government more efficient. This will give confidence to markets that the US fiscal situation long-term will improve, notwithstanding tax cuts. That will give investors more confidence to buy treasuries at lower yields, bringing mortgage rates lower. The push to achieve savings in government spending will cost jobs in the early years, and the left will scream bloody murder. But long-term it is a private sector-like solution to a major problem, and it will lead to outsized growth in the future.

It doesn't take an economic PHD to predict that when you loosen government regulation on companies, M&A activity, etc.....growth will follow. Wall Street understands this. And especially with smaller businesses. The Russell 2000 is up 10% this week. That is an absolutely huge move signalling the expectation that not just the largest companies will prosper in Trump's economy....smaller businesses will as well. Trump isn't going to Tarriff anyone huge amounts. But he absolutely will threaten it in order to negotiate a better deal with our foreign trade partners. An America first policy that gives two shits about being popular with Europeans / Chinese / Mexicans will (shocker) lead to a good economic outcome for Americans.

Bottom line - it won't show up immediately, but by the end of his term and into his successor's term, Trump policy will have led to a great outcome economically for Americans across all racial and wealth demos. It isn't Trump per se, it is how capitalism and an emphasis on the private sector works. His policy is simple: Let it.

Foreign Wars

Trump uses financial leverage on Iran to bring peace in the Middle East, as he did the first time. This will be popular....pretty universally popular domestically. I don't see where the argument could be against this. Iran will be held in check because they know Trump would not be afraid to straight-up assasinate their leaders. Amazing how that works, especially when your enemies know you don't give a shit what the US media thinks about it. Remember how the media said "Trump is gonna start a war with Iran" when he assasinated their general? Wrong - he prevented one, and kept them in check against our only ally in the middle East - Israel.

Trump uses financial and other leverage on Putin / Zalensky to bring peace in Europe. This will be unpopular on the left. There will be those that say whatever outcome was negotiated "handed Putin victory" and that he is now more likely to attack NATO. I frankly think that is bullshit. Bottom line is that a placated Putin creates a safer world. And to the extent Trump does provide Putin with a way to save face and exit the war....it will be countered with private and real threats that he will destroy Putin if he attacks NATO. This is such a bloody war, and it needs to end.

 

[OriginalGatorHator]

Dear God I hope not.

Enemies must be punished to such an extent no left winger would even dream about using lawfare for the next 50 years.

As to Israel, all foreign aid needs to stop immediately.

I fear you are correct though.

 

[d-dawg]

I hope the executive level of the FBI is replaced. Not the agents per se just the one’s calling the shots. Corrupt to the core.

 

[Athens is Heaven]

I hope the executive level of the FBI is replaced. Not the agents per se just the one’s calling the shots. Corrupt to the core.

And the moles Odumbo imbedded in there also.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

I hope the executive level of the FBI is replaced. Not the agents per se just the one’s calling the shots. Corrupt to the core.

Across the military and federal law enforcement….an emphasis on those with a lot of actual law enforcement / combat experience rather than politicians in uniform.

Real world experience versus government / academics.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

Dear God I hope not.

Enemies must be punished to such an extent no left winger would even dream about using lawfare for the next 50 years.

As to Israel, all foreign aid needs to stop immediately.

I fear you are correct though.

Totally disagree on Israel but understand the America first sentiment generally.

 

[zingerdawg]

I would say it is on. Wow

 

[TivoliDawg]

Feel free to call me out, bump in the future. Will see how I did....

Fears of "Revenge" or "end of democracy"

Totally unfounded. Truth will bear out that lawfare and other attempts to remove Trump were more of a threat to democracy. He isn't going to waste his time going after political enemies. "The enemy from within".....gonna use the Military on US Citizens. Absolutely ridiculous. Trump will continue to piss people off with rhetoric, offend, outrage, etc, etc. That's who he is. Sometimes intentional and effectively in terms of angling for something. Sometimes not. But democracy was never in trouble when he got elected. He isn't Hitler. He's not a facist (although most who say that don't know what it means).

Abortion

Nothing happens here. No abortion ban. Literallly, nothing. Everything stays the same.

Inflation / Economy / Spending

The rate of inflation will continue to ride in the low 2% range. But anyone who thinks Trump can magically bring prices down to where they were doesn't know how sticky things like rents are. He will be effective in keeping energy prices low because his policy will maximize domestic oil production and remove red tape so energy supply breaks records by a very large margin. That will help with other items as well. Furthermore, removing regulations will increase production and improve the supply chain. Rents are going to increase because the fed effectively put a two year pause on new apartment construction by making the cost of capital so high that developers haven't been able to capitalize projects the last 24 months. Housing prices won't go down, but the cost to own housing should as interest rates come down.

One of the reasons mortgage rates will come down (in addition to the fed) is that Trump will engage a team of experienced CEO's (not just Elon) to get to work on making government more efficient. This will give confidence to markets that the US fiscal situation long-term will improve, notwithstanding tax cuts. That will give investors more confidence to buy treasuries at lower yields, bringing mortgage rates lower. The push to achieve savings in government spending will cost jobs in the early years, and the left will scream bloody murder. But long-term it is a private sector-like solution to a major problem, and it will lead to outsized growth in the future.

It doesn't take an economic PHD to predict that when you loosen government regulation on companies, M&A activity, etc.....growth will follow. Wall Street understands this. And especially with smaller businesses. The Russell 2000 is up 10% this week. That is an absolutely huge move signalling the expectation that not just the largest companies will prosper in Trump's economy....smaller businesses will as well. Trump isn't going to Tarriff anyone huge amounts. But he absolutely will threaten it in order to negotiate a better deal with our foreign trade partners. An America first policy that gives two shits about being popular with Europeans / Chinese / Mexicans will (shocker) lead to a good economic outcome for Americans.

Bottom line - it won't show up immediately, but by the end of his term and into his successor's term, Trump policy will have led to a great outcome economically for Americans across all racial and wealth demos. It isn't Trump per se, it is how capitalism and an emphasis on the private sector works. His policy is simple: Let it.

Foreign Wars

Trump uses financial leverage on Iran to bring peace in the Middle East, as he did the first time. This will be popular....pretty universally popular domestically. I don't see where the argument could be against this. Iran will be held in check because they know Trump would not be afraid to straight-up assasinate their leaders. Amazing how that works, especially when your enemies know you don't give a shit what the US media thinks about it. Remember how the media said "Trump is gonna start a war with Iran" when he assasinated their general? Wrong - he prevented one, and kept them in check against our only ally in the middle East - Israel.

Trump uses financial and other leverage on Putin / Zalensky to bring peace in Europe. This will be unpopular on the left. There will be those that say whatever outcome was negotiated "handed Putin victory" and that he is now more likely to attack NATO. I frankly think that is bullshit. Bottom line is that a placated Putin creates a safer world. And to the extent Trump does provide Putin with a way to save face and exit the war....it will be countered with private and real threats that he will destroy Putin if he attacks NATO. This is such a bloody war, and it needs to end.

There is no way to quickly end Russia’s invasion other than to simply give away all the land they have invaded in Ukraine.

And Ukraine would never support that. Nor would any sane person.

The longer that war drags on is better for the USA. And worse for Russia.

They’re literally running out of troops and just had to import 10,000 from NKorea.

So now NKore could be losing their best troops as well. Lol.

This war is incredibly beneficial to the USA.

 

[cherrydawg]

There is no way to quickly end Russia’s invasion other than to simply give away all the land they have invaded in Ukraine.

And Ukraine would never support that. Nor would any sane person.

The longer that war drags on is better for the USA. And worse for Russia.

They’re literally running out of troops and just had to import 10,000 from NKorea.

So now NKore could be losing their best troops as well. Lol.

This war is incredibly beneficial to the USA.

Now talk about the billions of dollars wasted over there.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

There is no way to quickly end Russia’s invasion other than to simply give away all the land they have invaded in Ukraine.

And Ukraine would never support that. Nor would any sane person.

The longer that war drags on is better for the USA. And worse for Russia.

They’re literally running out of troops and just had to import 10,000 from NKorea.

So now NKore could be losing their best troops as well. Lol.

This war is incredibly beneficial to the USA.

Man the left has come a long way in terms of rooting on wars. Don’t see the logic.

 

[TivoliDawg]

Man the left has come a long way in terms of rooting on wars. Don’t see the logic.

The logic is what I posted above?

 

[TivoliDawg]

Man the left has come a long way in terms of rooting on wars. Don’t see the logic.

Also, does it feel completely emasculating that now, for some weird reason, Trump has convinced republicans to be doves?

It’s just so not manly.

 

[TivoliDawg]

Now talk about the billions of dollars wasted over there.

What is wasted? This is where we’re at, that defending freedom and innocent lives from death is now “wasted”. Glad our grandfathers did not think this way.

You can always tell who is consuming the most Twitter and TikTok. Because our enemies are trying to convince us to stop being the leader for world freedom that we are and always have been. It appears to be working.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

Also, does it feel completely emasculating that now, for some weird reason, Trump has convinced republicans to be doves?

It’s just so not manly.

I think trump understands how to effectively use our military.

Threaten to kill the bad guys and mean it. And make good on it. Have the best military and the world and talk about it. Peace through strength.

Bottom line: I have zero doubts Trump would phuck up a country and kill their leader if they came at us. And here’s the thing: Those leaders have zero doubts too.

Biden has never made the case to the American people on Ukraine. Putin is bad is basically his pitch. If there is a legit threat to NATO let’s hear about it.

Definitely not a dove. My Granddad was 101 airborne jumped into Europe and took a Nazi shell.

Biden has been an embarrassment in terms of military management.

 

[TivoliDawg]

I think trump understands how to effectively use our military.

Threaten to kill the bad guys and mean it. And make good on it. Have the best military and the world and talk about it. Peace through strength.

Bottom line: I have zero doubts Trump would phuck up a country and kill their leader if they came at us. And here’s the thing: Those leaders have zero doubts too.

Biden has never made the case to the American people on Ukraine. Putin is bad is basically his pitch. If there is a legit threat to NATO let’s hear about it.

Definitely not a dove. My Granddad was 101 airborne jumped into Europe and took a Nazi shell.

Biden has been an embarrassment in terms of military management.

I agree with all of your post, except the fact that Biden has never made the case on Ukraine to the American people. If you Google it, a huge percentage of the American people want to continue supporting them. And why wouldn’t we?

Do you want the Russians to win?

Do you want rogue powers to think they can invade a sovereign country and blow up to hospitals and roads?

We have the extra money to give billionaires a large tax cut, but not the money to save innocent lives? That’s simply not America.

The case has been made millions of times, if you don’t like that case, you are allowed to feel that way. But to say that no case has been made is dishonest.

 

[LRA Dawg]

I think you are overlooking the effect tariffs will have on inflation. I only hope most of that talk is in the form of threats to gain leverage in negotiations with other countries.

Your prediction of Ukraine looks good but you are not considering what happens after Ukraine. With a sympathetic Trump in charge Russia will move next into Moldova and use the Ukraine playbook on other Eastern European countries. Trump will also severely erode or even dismantle NATO which will give our enemies much more economic and military advantages.

As for congress, I predict a small faction of Centrist republicans will get together that will put brakes on some legislative proposals.

All this talk about the future being all roses and sunshine is rather comical.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

I agree with all of your post, except the fact that Biden has never made the case on Ukraine to the American people. If you Google it, a huge percentage of the American people want to continue supporting them. And why wouldn’t we?

Do you want the Russians to win?

Do you want rogue powers to think they can invade a sovereign country and blow up to hospitals and roads?

We have the extra money to give billionaires a large tax cut, but not the money to save innocent lives? That’s simply not America.

The case has been made millions of times, if you don’t like that case, you are allowed to feel that way. But to say that no case has been made is dishonest.

I haven’t heard the good counter argument to the following questions:

Can Ukraine win?
What is the goal here?
On what timeline?

They aren’t in NATO and Putin’s aggression doesn’t threaten the US. Prolonging the inevitable with our dollars is just costing more blood on both sides with what as the goal?

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

I think you are overlooking the effect tariffs will have on inflation. I only hope most of that talk is in the form of threats to gain leverage in negotiations with other countries.

Your prediction of Ukraine looks good but you are not considering what happens after Ukraine. With a sympathetic Trump in charge Russia will move next into Moldova and use the Ukraine playbook on other Eastern European countries. Trump will also severely erode or even dismantle NATO which will give our enemies much more economic and military advantages.

As for congress, I predict a small faction of Centrist republicans will get together that will put brakes on some legislative proposals.

All this talk about the future being all roses and sunshine is rather comical.

We will see, but tariffs worked so well the first time that Biden kept them and even proposed doing more.

No way Putin does anything to NATO. He knows that would lead to the end of his regime / life. He’s gonna push as hard as he can without bringing US into fold. Because he’s a thug. And evil. Just like Sadaam was a thug. And evil.

 

[Dirty Hairy Dawg]

I think you are overlooking the effect tariffs will have on inflation. I only hope most of that talk is in the form of threats to gain leverage in negotiations with other countries.

Your prediction of Ukraine looks good but you are not considering what happens after Ukraine. With a sympathetic Trump in charge Russia will move next into Moldova and use the Ukraine playbook on other Eastern European countries. Trump will also severely erode or even dismantle NATO which will give our enemies much more economic and military advantages.

As for congress, I predict a small faction of Centrist republicans will get together that will put brakes on some legislative proposals.

All this talk about the future being all roses and sunshine is rather comical.

I think you're overlooking the fact that we pay tariffs when exporting but haven't reciprocated and instead grant free access to our markets. It's not free trade when one side imposes tariffs and VATS to manipulate trade and protect their markets while we grant free access to our markets. Obviously, tariffs aren't a silver bullet but they are a useful tool that can help level the playing field. I think Trump and Trumpers understand it's time to rescind the favorable trade practices we began after WWII to help our allies recover from the devastation and start treating them like partners instead of their guardians.

 

[Dirty Hairy Dawg]

I haven’t heard the good counter argument to the following questions:

Can Ukraine win?
What is the goal here?
On what timeline?

They aren’t in NATO and Putin’s aggression doesn’t threaten the US. Prolonging the inevitable with our dollars is just costing more blood on both sides with what as the goal?

Absolutely. I have no problem with the U.S. participating in the defense of Ukraine but it's a European war and the EU should be carrying the lion's share of the burden. It's the EU that created a cozy relationship with Putin and bought his crude and it's the EU that should be paying to confront the aggression they enabled.

 

[TivoliDawg]

I haven’t heard the good counter argument to the following questions:

Can Ukraine win? YES and they have been since the beginning. And if we actually thoroughly supported them, they might have repelled even more.
What is the goal here? To save innocent lives. And to ensure that Rogue communist regimes don’t killcpeople.
On what timeline? There is no timeline for wars.

They aren’t in NATO and Putin’s aggression doesn’t threaten the US. Prolonging the inevitable with our dollars is just costing more blood on both sides with what as the goal?

Oh brother. Putin’s aggression doesn’t threaten the USA? So maybe we should just hide and hope the aggression never comes our way? There is too much ignorance of history here to explain in a post.

Did anyone see the WSJ article earlier this week that Putin put two explosive devices on American DHL planes?

If you like Trump, fine. But please don’t believe the stuff he says. Like wow. I voted for him, but he’s a buffoon. Come on.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

Oh brother. Putin’s aggression doesn’t threaten the USA? So maybe we should just hide and hope the aggression never comes our way? There is too much ignorance of history here to explain in a post.

Did anyone see the WSJ article earlier this week that Putin put two explosive devices on American DHL planes?

If you like Trump, fine. But please don’t believe the stuff he says. Like wow. I voted for him, but he’s a buffoon. Come on.

Your argument is a general one that would support just attacking Putin no matter what. No one is arguing that the dude is bad and would re-create the USSR if he could and would love to defeat the US. If he could. He knows he can’t. So in the meantime he’s gonna do the things he can that stay within the bounds of not creating a legal obligation for the US to get involved directly. Has nothing to do with Trump.

More importantly - can you answer the questions I posed? Seems if we are spending taxpayer dollars to directly create more bloodshed, there should be an achievable end goal, no? If there is one what is it?

One more question - do we want to back the guy who could literally destroy the planet with Nukes into a corner in a conflict not involving American / NATO lives?

 

[TivoliDawg]

Your argument is a general one that would support just attacking Putin no matter what. No one is arguing that the dude is bad and would re-create the USSR if he could and would love to defeat the US. If he could. He knows he can’t. So in the meantime he’s gonna do the things he can that stay within the bounds of not creating a legal obligation for the US to get involved directly. Has nothing to do with Trump.

More importantly - can you answer the questions I posed? Seems if we are spending taxpayer dollars to directly create more bloodshed, there should be an achievable end goal, no? If there is one what is it?

One more question - do we want to back the guy who could literally destroy the planet with Nukes into a corner in a conflict not involving American / NATO lives?

I did answer the questions you posed. They’re in there.

 

[TivoliDawg]

Your argument is a general one that would support just attacking Putin no matter what. No one is arguing that the dude is bad and would re-create the USSR if he could and would love to defeat the US. If he could. He knows he can’t. So in the meantime he’s gonna do the things he can that stay within the bounds of not creating a legal obligation for the US to get involved directly. Has nothing to do with Trump.

More importantly - can you answer the questions I posed? Seems if we are spending taxpayer dollars to directly create more bloodshed, there should be an achievable end goal, no? If there is one what is it?

One more question - do we want to back the guy who could literally destroy the planet with Nukes into a corner in a conflict not involving American / NATO lives?

Yes, we do. Putin’s goal is to destroy the USA. Period. As if he’ll just say “I’m good, all I ever wanted was Ukraine”.

Communism cannot peacefully coexist with American capitalism. I feel like you’re under age 30. Did I guess right? No one with any sort of tenure would forget all the lessons of the mid-twentieth century so easily (unless you were young and had never learned them).

 

[Dirty Hairy Dawg]

Yes, we do. Putin’s goal is to destroy the USA. Period. As if he’ll just say “I’m good, all I ever wanted was Ukraine”.

Communism cannot peacefully coexist with American capitalism. I feel like you’re under age 30. Did I guess right? No one with any sort of tenure would forget all the lessons of the mid-twentieth century so easily (unless you were young and had never learned them).

So, are you proposing a perpetual war with Putin's Russia while ignoring the real threat in China? If not, how do you see the war ending? Do you believe a nuclear Russia is going to be conquered?

Can Trump end the war on terms that work for all parties involved? Maybe but likely not. However, you are not going to end the war by refusing to engage in diplomacy unless you're willing to engage in total war. I don't think anyone wins in the scenario in which the Biden regime has us heading.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

Yes, we do. Putin’s goal is to destroy the USA. Period. As if he’ll just say “I’m good, all I ever wanted was Ukraine”.

Communism cannot peacefully coexist with American capitalism. I feel like you’re under age 30. Did I guess right? No one with any sort of tenure would forget all the lessons of the mid-twentieth century so easily (unless you were young and had never learned them).

Nope I am 47. But understand the history of US policy to stop spread of communism. Korea. Vietnam.

So to be clear you think Ukraine will win this war and take down Putin?

 

[TivoliDawg]

Nope I am 47. But understand the history of US policy to stop spread of communism. Korea. Vietnam.

So to be clear you think Ukraine will win this war and take down Putin?

They won’t “take down” Putin. No one said that and they’re not going to invade Moscow. That’s ridiculous.

But they absolutely can inflict enough damage (already are) that Putin will back down and remove the troops. Or he’ll die (he’s very old) and the next guy will do that.

What happens when these 10k NKorean troops get killed? Where will Putin go next?

We are very close to them tapping out and to pull the rug out now is insane. We need to fund Ukraine as much as possible. Every poster on this board was outraged (rightfully) during the invasion and posted about how much they support Ukraine. Then, all of the sudden, Trump starts saying he’ll end the war and the echo chamber starts to hit. There was no one on this board saying we should abandon Ukraine 2 years ago. Not one poster.

good conversation though.

Beat Ole Miss!!

 

[Athens is Heaven]

Now talk about the billions of dollars wasted over there.

Yeah and all of the kick backs these Dems and some Republicans get out of it.

 

[3 Pete]

Kamala had a To Do list.
Trump won with a punch list.

Punch criminal illegals' ticket back home
Punch Zelenskyy in the balls.
Punch the FBI/DOJ/CIA in the face
Punch the federal bureaucracy every day
Punch China
Punch Iran
Punch some holes in the ground and start drilling.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

They won’t “take down” Putin. No one said that and they’re not going to invade Moscow. That’s ridiculous.

But they absolutely can inflict enough damage (already are) that Putin will back down and remove the troops. Or he’ll die (he’s very old) and the next guy will do that.

What happens when these 10k NKorean troops get killed? Where will Putin go next?

We are very close to them tapping out and to pull the rug out now is insane. We need to fund Ukraine as much as possible. Every poster on this board was outraged (rightfully) during the invasion and posted about how much they support Ukraine. Then, all of the sudden, Trump starts saying he’ll end the war and the echo chamber starts to hit. There was no one on this board saying we should abandon Ukraine 2 years ago. Not one poster.

good conversation though.

Beat Ole Miss!!

If Ukrainian victory is on the horizon, don’t the American people deserve a detailed accounting supporting this notion? When is victory expected?

My fear is that while this is a respectable and principled position, it may not be rooted in reality? I have yet to see a legit case made for Ukrainian victory. Seems like Putin is willing to simply continue to sacrifice Russian and Ukrainian lives in perpetuity.

 

[TivoliDawg]

If Ukrainian victory is on the horizon, don’t the American people deserve a detailed accounting supporting this notion? When is victory expected?

My fear is that while this is a respectable and principled position, it may not be rooted in reality? I have yet to see a legit case made for Ukrainian victory. Seems like Putin is willing to simply continue to sacrifice Russian and Ukrainian lives in perpetuity.

1) wars don’t have end dates.
2) if Outin is willing to destroy his military and his country, and North Korea’s, we should absolutely indulge in that.

That would be fantastic.

 

[agentorange70]

The critical thing I see is the backlash when trump deports illegal aliens in Cali, Illinois,. Minnesota, and other blue states that have already declared they are saving their people from trump,....

If trump goes into blue states to deport "newcomers", you are going to have Dems calling for help from the UN to save them like they did when Stacey Abrams cried in Georgia about unfair elections,...

I would say let the sanctuary states keep and fund the illegal aliens and remove illegal aliens that are not in sanctuary states,....4 years is not enough time to remove 20 million people anyways,...and send no funds for hotel stays and food to sanctuary cities,...NYC started giving credit cards to illegals because the illegals didn't like the free American food given to them,...the illegals wanted burritos and enchiladas,...so if NYC and other cities are so rich to fund such adventures that is okay, no federal money and good luck to those states and municipalities.

After all, states are laboratories of democracy to form the best model by example

 

[Zonadog]

The critical thing I see is the backlash when trump deports illegal aliens in Cali, Illinois,. Minnesota, and other blue states that have already declared they are saving their people from trump,....

If trump goes into blue states to deport "newcomers", you are going to have Dems calling for help from the UN to save them like they did when Stacey Abrams cried in Georgia about unfair elections,...

I would say let the sanctuary states keep and fund the illegal aliens and remove illegal aliens that are not in sanctuary states,....4 years is not enough time to remove 20 million people anyways,...and send no funds for hotel stays and food to sanctuary cities,...NYC started giving credit cards to illegals because the illegals didn't like the free American food given to them,...the illegals wanted burritos and enchiladas,...so if NYC and other cities are so rich to fund such adventures that is okay, no federal money and good luck to those states and municipalities.

After all, states are laboratories of democracy to form the best model by example

How long do you think sanctuary cities would last, paying out billions to support their "newcomers" without federal funding?

New York City is already sending illegals to Texas to reduce their costs. Much easier to deport them from there. Just stay on the bus, forget about US, and put the blame on me.

 

[agentorange70]

How long do you think sanctuary cities would last, paying out billions to support their "newcomers" without federal funding?

New York City is already sending illegals to Texas to reduce their costs. Much easier to deport them from there. Just stay on the bus, forget about US, and put the blame on me.

Not long without a democrat controlled federal govt,...especially when deportations begin and the illegals start to flock more in numbers to the sanctuary cities to avoid capture, then their will be a tipping point to what a local population can provide

Just needs to be a process of increasing the amount of judges to review and deny the asylum requests, as at least 90 percent are without merit,...

I would not be opposed to a process similar to Norway where they pay migrants 34k to go back to there home country if it is cheaper than the deportation process going through the courts,...but for that to work you would need a functioning border in which they couldn't come back over and collect another 34 K to leave again

 

[Zonadog]

Not long without a democrat controlled federal govt,...especially when deportations begin and the illegals start to flock more in numbers to the sanctuary cities to avoid capture, then their will be a tipping point to what a local population can provide

Just needs to be a process of increasing the amount of judges to review and deny the asylum requests, as at least 90 percent are without merit,...

I would not be opposed to a process similar to Norway where they pay migrants 34k to go back to there home country if it is cheaper than the deportation process going through the courts,...but for that to work you would need a functioning border in which they couldn't come back over and collect another 34 K to leave again

California found out about that the hard way. Their incentives for illegal immigrants are so good that some are going back across the border to enter again and claim more "new arrival" benefits. There's no ID requirement or border security to prevent it.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

1) wars don’t have end dates.
2) if Outin is willing to destroy his military and his country, and North Korea’s, we should absolutely indulge in that.

That would be fantastic.

What is the end game?

Ukraine’s war effort faces uncertain future as Russia mounts record drone strikes — CNN

Since September 1, the Ukrainian capital Kyiv has been spared from Russian drone attacks on just one night – October 14.

apple.news

 

[TivoliDawg]

What is the end game?

Ukraine’s war effort faces uncertain future as Russia mounts record drone strikes — CNN

Since September 1, the Ukrainian capital Kyiv has been spared from Russian drone attacks on just one night – October 14.

apple.news

The end game is for Russia to give back all the land they have invaded and bring Ukraine into NATO so that this doesn’t happen anymore.

Well, ultimately, the end game is regime change in Russia so they can be normal. But that’s unlikely any time soon.

 

[-lowcountrydawg]

The end game is for Russia to give back all the land they have invaded and bring Ukraine into NATO so that this doesn’t happen anymore.

Well, ultimately, the end game is regime change in Russia so they can be normal. But that’s unlikely any time soon.

The article seems to indicate that goal
Isn’t attainable. If so why continue to fund this bloodshed with tax dollars?

 

[DawglegrightinSC]

Feel free to call me out, bump in the future. Will see how I did....

Fears of "Revenge" or "end of democracy"

Totally unfounded. Truth will bear out that lawfare and other attempts to remove Trump were more of a threat to democracy. He isn't going to waste his time going after political enemies. "The enemy from within".....gonna use the Military on US Citizens. Absolutely ridiculous. Trump will continue to piss people off with rhetoric, offend, outrage, etc, etc. That's who he is. Sometimes intentional and effectively in terms of angling for something. Sometimes not. But democracy was never in trouble when he got elected. He isn't Hitler. He's not a facist (although most who say that don't know what it means).

Abortion

Nothing happens here. No abortion ban. Literallly, nothing. Everything stays the same.

Inflation / Economy / Spending

The rate of inflation will continue to ride in the low 2% range. But anyone who thinks Trump can magically bring prices down to where they were doesn't know how sticky things like rents are. He will be effective in keeping energy prices low because his policy will maximize domestic oil production and remove red tape so energy supply breaks records by a very large margin. That will help with other items as well. Furthermore, removing regulations will increase production and improve the supply chain. Rents are going to increase because the fed effectively put a two year pause on new apartment construction by making the cost of capital so high that developers haven't been able to capitalize projects the last 24 months. Housing prices won't go down, but the cost to own housing should as interest rates come down.

One of the reasons mortgage rates will come down (in addition to the fed) is that Trump will engage a team of experienced CEO's (not just Elon) to get to work on making government more efficient. This will give confidence to markets that the US fiscal situation long-term will improve, notwithstanding tax cuts. That will give investors more confidence to buy treasuries at lower yields, bringing mortgage rates lower. The push to achieve savings in government spending will cost jobs in the early years, and the left will scream bloody murder. But long-term it is a private sector-like solution to a major problem, and it will lead to outsized growth in the future.

It doesn't take an economic PHD to predict that when you loosen government regulation on companies, M&A activity, etc.....growth will follow. Wall Street understands this. And especially with smaller businesses. The Russell 2000 is up 10% this week. That is an absolutely huge move signalling the expectation that not just the largest companies will prosper in Trump's economy....smaller businesses will as well. Trump isn't going to Tarriff anyone huge amounts. But he absolutely will threaten it in order to negotiate a better deal with our foreign trade partners. An America first policy that gives two shits about being popular with Europeans / Chinese / Mexicans will (shocker) lead to a good economic outcome for Americans.

Bottom line - it won't show up immediately, but by the end of his term and into his successor's term, Trump policy will have led to a great outcome economically for Americans across all racial and wealth demos. It isn't Trump per se, it is how capitalism and an emphasis on the private sector works. His policy is simple: Let it.

Foreign Wars

Trump uses financial leverage on Iran to bring peace in the Middle East, as he did the first time. This will be popular....pretty universally popular domestically. I don't see where the argument could be against this. Iran will be held in check because they know Trump would not be afraid to straight-up assasinate their leaders. Amazing how that works, especially when your enemies know you don't give a shit what the US media thinks about it. Remember how the media said "Trump is gonna start a war with Iran" when he assasinated their general? Wrong - he prevented one, and kept them in check against our only ally in the middle East - Israel.

Trump uses financial and other leverage on Putin / Zalensky to bring peace in Europe. This will be unpopular on the left. There will be those that say whatever outcome was negotiated "handed Putin victory" and that he is now more likely to attack NATO. I frankly think that is bullshit. Bottom line is that a placated Putin creates a safer world. And to the extent Trump does provide Putin with a way to save face and exit the war....it will be countered with private and real threats that he will destroy Putin if he attacks NATO. This is such a bloody war, and it needs to end.

Well done. Agree 100%.

 

[DawglegrightinSC]

Also, does it feel completely emasculating that now, for some weird reason, Trump has convinced republicans to be doves?

It’s just so not manly.

How many is it as a politician to send the sons and daughters of Americans to be wounded or killed. We have had endless wars for over 20 years now. Which ones have we won? Were any of reasons for these wars actually real or did we lose brave soldiers for nothing? Ukraine is no different. We were lied to and spent hundreds of billions for what. Sorry, I don’t see a good reason to have been involved and I don’t see a reason to stay involved.