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Statistical tale of the tape

Obi Won

Jedi Trainer
Gold Member
Jul 2, 2001
13,210
19,261
197
Canton, GA
I like to look at relative stats (i.e. how you perform vs what a team averages giving up) in 8 major categories, then assess a game grade. Here are some high level numbers I gleaned from the review of us vs Bama.


GEORGIA OPPONENTSALABAMAOPPONENTS
RUSHES for 185.58 per game (+37.54)Give up 148.01 yards RUSHING per gameRUSHES for 177.58 per game (+40.13)Give up 137.45 yards RUSHING per game
Gives up 118 yards RUSHING per game (+45.49)RUSH for 163.49 yards per gameGives up 128.42 yards RUSHING per game (+37.30)RUSH for 165.72 yards per game
PASSES for 310.83 per game (+79.24)Gives up 231.49 yards PASSING per gamePASSES for 231.50 per game (+3.96)Give up 227.54 yards PASSING per game
Gives up 176.50 yards PASSING per game (+56.67)PASS for 233.17 per gameGives up 184.25 yards PASSING per game (+59.23)PASS for 243.48 per game
SCORES 39.58 points per game (+12.98)Give up 26.60 points per game SCORINGSCORES 35.75 points per game (+10.78)Give up 24.97 points per game SCORING
Gives up 15.75 points per game SCORING(+12.97)SCORE 28.72 points per gameGives up 17.92 points per game SCORING(+12.97)SCORE 30.89 points per game
Loses 1.08 TURNOVERS per game (+.25)Force 1.33 TURNOVERS per gameLoses 0.83 TURNOVERS per game (+.53)Force 1.35 TURNOVERS per game
Forces 1.08 TURNOVERS per game (-.18)Lose 1.26 TURNOVERS per gameForces 1.42 TURNOVERS per game (+.22)Lose 1.20 TURNOVERS per game
AVERAGE Game Grade 568.02AVERAGE Game Grade 473.41
WEIGHTED Game Grade 4158.19WEIGHTED Game Grade 2739.50

Average game grades take into account differences in these 8 categories for that one game and assigns a multiplier based on location of game as well as P5 vs G5 vs FCS.
Weighted game grades take the average game grades and weigh games against the 4 best teams as triple, next 4 best as double, and 4 weakest as single.

So..for the TLDR among us...

  • Our run game versus their run defense is pretty much a push.
  • Our pass game against their pass defense is an edge to us.
  • Their run game versus our run defense is a very slight edge to us.
  • Their pass game versus our pass defense is a pretty big edge to us.
  • Our scoring offense is a push to their scoring defense.
  • Our scoring defense is a slight edge over their scoring offense.
  • Our offensive turnovers are a virtual push with their defensive forced turnovers.
  • Our forced turnovers stats versus their offensive turnovers is a very big edge to them

  • Our 3 best games were against Ole Miss, Kentucky, and Tennessee. Theirs were against M Tennessee, LSU, and Kentucky.
  • Our 3 worst games were against GT, Auburn, and Vandy. Theirs were against Texas, Arkansas, and S Florida.

Statistically UGA is slightly better overall, but a good bit better against the better teams on our schedule.
 
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