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Who needs the polls…..

Took some Biden +2000 back in 2019 when there was (stupidly) some debate about whether he'd win the Dem primary. Wish I had taken more.

There is a simple way to play this on Election Day, one that hedges plus money on both sides. It's very similar to 2020:
  1. Biden is the play after polls close on East Coast/Midwest. Trump is going to win most of the bellwether counties, just as he did in 2020. That is going to shift odds dramatically in Trump's favor. IIRC, he hit -600 or so at some point on Election evening on some books.
  2. Once all the totally legit pipe bursts and six-figure ballot dumps almost entirely in Biden's favor start coming in for the swing states, Trump will start to get back to plus money.

Conservatively, there should be a +200 line MINIMUM on each candidate at a certain point on Election Day. Keep an eye out on those lines because that guarantees a profit (with an even unit play for each side).
 
nonetheless, thought this was interesting. Place your bets at your own risk:

2024 U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION BETTING ODDS​

  • Donald Trump 5/6
  • Joe Biden 15/8
  • Michelle Obama 11/1
  • Nikki Haley 20/1
  • Gavin Newsom 20/1
  • Robert Kennedy Jr. 22/1
  • Kamala Harris 40/1
  • All Other Candidates listed at 100/1 or higher


https://www.vegasinsider.com/odds/us-presidential-election/
They should let Vegas pick the then four CFP teams, now the new number of teams that will make up the playoff
 
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