Great commentary on Polling and agendas........

[DawgWCK]

cant find it now to link it but here are the cliffs

1. Done on Megan Kelley show by Cahaley, he is in partnership with Towery
2. They are conservative internal polling specialist
3. Polling done in mid January showing Biden down in all swing states , some near double digits was agenda driven with liberals trying to push Biden out of race
4. These same pollsters are showing Biden closing in the swing states trying to give Biden a bump and give him momentum
5. Their polls (Towry/ Cahaley) have been very consistent, showing Trump up 2% to 4% with little change but within the margin of error with 10% or so in undecideds
6. Kennedy helps Trump, in fact only way Trump wins is Kennedy pulling 2% or so in several of these swing states. They feel Kennedy will pull more than 2%, he has the financing and independents and several groups that voted for Biden want to vote for someone else.
7. Kennedy's pick of VP only strengthens his financing and recognition among liberals (seem Michigan and protest vote)
8. Biden and Trump both have potential bombshells that will hurt them (crime, economy, court trials, gaffs and related), Biden has slightly more risk than Trump. (Probably True but surprised me to hear it)
9. He did NOT mention the absentee voting in this conversation but has mentioned it before and its overall effect, they estimate it in the 2% range overall in a swing state.


To go further on item # 4, he says thats why you saw all the democrat strategist out there last week promoting the polling data, trying to build momentum. Perhaps nothing really outlandish but interesting information to me.......

 

[agentorange70]

The issue is that modern Democrats are not interested in debates, opinion, polls,...they just need 30 percent of the hard core liberal base and since they have become the party of the rich now, they have all the money for electioneering,...and since COVID and the 30 days of voting now, money will be spent on the apathetic to vote democrat and neighborhoods with proclivities toward govt stipends to having an army of electioneerers getting paid to come to their doorstep with a half filled form to vote so they don't have to worry about spending 5 dollars on a state id or walk to the voting booth,...they get helpers paid by the Democratic party,... Kamala sponsored attempt tried to get this paid by taxpayers at large that was unsuccessful,...so at least it's still a partisan thingy and not federal policy