I know there are many opinions and so called experts throwing scenarios around but i honestly think 11 of the 12 spots are taken.
My take
1. Oregon if they win or Texas with a win and Oregon loss. If both lose, it should be ours over Penn st
2. SEC winner if Oregon wins. Penn St if they win
3. SMU with a win or Boise if clemson wins
4. Boise State if they win and SMU wins. Big 12 champ if BS losses
5. Notre Dame. Don’t like it but I think committee gives it to them as pseudo reward
6. Big 10 loser (almost an “automatic” seed for making the championship. No way the conferences that created/agreed to this new system will allow their runner up to be punished)
7. SEC loser ( Same as above)
8. And 9. Tennessee and Ohio St. Can’t argue either way unless the committee really does try to avoid possible rematches. (Oregon vs OSU or UGA vs UTjr. 2nd rd. Don’t think it’s possible to avoid or predict)
10. Indiana. Reward for winning against a very weak schedule
11. Big 12 champ if Boise wins
12. This is where it gets sketchy. South Carolina? Bama? Miami? ACC loser? Personally I think Carolina is playing the best football but hard to keep the Bama name out. If Clemson wins, SMU should be in this conversation.
There could be some discussion around the outcomes of ACC, and the G5 games but I think it’s over 1 maybe 2 spots. If the above is accurate, the 5 or 6 seed is actually more desirable than most
My take
1. Oregon if they win or Texas with a win and Oregon loss. If both lose, it should be ours over Penn st
2. SEC winner if Oregon wins. Penn St if they win
3. SMU with a win or Boise if clemson wins
4. Boise State if they win and SMU wins. Big 12 champ if BS losses
5. Notre Dame. Don’t like it but I think committee gives it to them as pseudo reward
6. Big 10 loser (almost an “automatic” seed for making the championship. No way the conferences that created/agreed to this new system will allow their runner up to be punished)
7. SEC loser ( Same as above)
8. And 9. Tennessee and Ohio St. Can’t argue either way unless the committee really does try to avoid possible rematches. (Oregon vs OSU or UGA vs UTjr. 2nd rd. Don’t think it’s possible to avoid or predict)
10. Indiana. Reward for winning against a very weak schedule
11. Big 12 champ if Boise wins
12. This is where it gets sketchy. South Carolina? Bama? Miami? ACC loser? Personally I think Carolina is playing the best football but hard to keep the Bama name out. If Clemson wins, SMU should be in this conversation.
There could be some discussion around the outcomes of ACC, and the G5 games but I think it’s over 1 maybe 2 spots. If the above is accurate, the 5 or 6 seed is actually more desirable than most
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