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COVID-19 status in GA as of 20 SEP - continued rapid improvement with 36% reduction in cases...

BigDaddyDawgBreath

Hairy Cooontex
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May 29, 2001
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since peak on 25 AUG. Hospitalizations are down statewide 23% and every region has seen a significant drop in hospitalizations.

Of course the media continues to focus on only the negative news, which is deaths. They lag and they are still high. Curiously we are seeing a tighter lag between case peak and death peak in the Delta surge but need more data for that to play out before trying to have even a basic understanding of why.

Like every surge before this, this one appears to have started up due to factors beyond our control and it came down due to factors beyond our control (Farr's Law - if you don't know that at this point you don't know jack about COVID-19).

The one thing that it appears could have been controlled is more at risk people could have been vaccinated, which would have helped reduce critical hospitalizations and deaths. More unhealthy and obese people could have also taken care of themselves better over the last 18 months, which would have helped reduce critical cases.

But the idea that any combination of masking, vaccines, vaccine passports, school quarantines, obesity control, or anything else could have prevented Delta surge from happening at all is not supportable at all. Until we have the humility to accept our limitations in controlling COVID-19 we will continue to engage in painful and wasteful measures.

And if you are a member of the media reading this, know that omitting half of the story constitutes engaging in falsehood by omission. If you don't tell people what is actually happening - bad or good - you are not reporting.

Tell the whole story. People need to be informed, not behaviorally controlled by your reporting.
 
since peak on 25 AUG. Hospitalizations are down statewide 23% and every region has seen a significant drop in hospitalizations.

Of course the media continues to focus on only the negative news, which is deaths. They lag and they are still high. Curiously we are seeing a tighter lag between case peak and death peak in the Delta surge but need more data for that to play out before trying to have even a basic understanding of why.

Like every surge before this, this one appears to have started up due to factors beyond our control and it came down due to factors beyond our control (Farr's Law - if you don't know that at this point you don't know jack about COVID-19).

The one thing that it appears could have been controlled is more at risk people could have been vaccinated, which would have helped reduce critical hospitalizations and deaths. More unhealthy and obese people could have also taken care of themselves better over the last 18 months, which would have helped reduce critical cases.

But the idea that any combination of masking, vaccines, vaccine passports, school quarantines, obesity control, or anything else could have prevented Delta surge from happening at all is not supportable at all. Until we have the humility to accept our limitations in controlling COVID-19 we will continue to engage in painful and wasteful measures.

And if you are a member of the media reading this, know that omitting half of the story constitutes engaging in falsehood by omission. If you don't tell people what is actually happening - bad or good - you are not reporting.

Tell the whole story. People need to be informed, not behaviorally controlled by your reporting.
What is this humility you speak of? I thought once Trump left all we would be left with was humble social servants.
 
since peak on 25 AUG. Hospitalizations are down statewide 23% and every region has seen a significant drop in hospitalizations.

Of course the media continues to focus on only the negative news, which is deaths. They lag and they are still high. Curiously we are seeing a tighter lag between case peak and death peak in the Delta surge but need more data for that to play out before trying to have even a basic understanding of why.

Like every surge before this, this one appears to have started up due to factors beyond our control and it came down due to factors beyond our control (Farr's Law - if you don't know that at this point you don't know jack about COVID-19).

The one thing that it appears could have been controlled is more at risk people could have been vaccinated, which would have helped reduce critical hospitalizations and deaths. More unhealthy and obese people could have also taken care of themselves better over the last 18 months, which would have helped reduce critical cases.

But the idea that any combination of masking, vaccines, vaccine passports, school quarantines, obesity control, or anything else could have prevented Delta surge from happening at all is not supportable at all. Until we have the humility to accept our limitations in controlling COVID-19 we will continue to engage in painful and wasteful measures.

And if you are a member of the media reading this, know that omitting half of the story constitutes engaging in falsehood by omission. If you don't tell people what is actually happening - bad or good - you are not reporting.

Tell the whole story. People need to be informed, not behaviorally controlled by your reporting.
Do you think we will have another surge like last winter? Or do we have enough natural infection + vaccinations for any future outbreaks to be more muted?
 
Do you think we will have another surge like last winter? Or do we have enough natural infection + vaccinations for any future outbreaks to be more muted?
My best guess is a mix of the two with possibly some muting but low confidence in that - need to see some more information to have a better idea IMO.

Gottlieb thinks it will be muted.

 
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