First sorry about the long nature of the post, just some thoughts that I wanted to put out.
This post isnt about convincing you UGA will win or how great we but instead is about stating some truths that we all know to be fact about college football as it relates to this game:
-You have to have a certain talent level to have the opportunity to compete. Let’s state the obvious, Texas and UGA have PREMIER rosters. Very little difference. Has been and was always going to be a war between the 2 programs.
-schedules aren’t equal and records are not indicative of team strength. When teams are on equal footing talent wise, its very easy to seek validation for your program or to invalidate an opponent by being results based. The problem with being results based in college football is it’s not apples to apples. Many people are quick to praise Texas and bash UGA based on surface level statistics and record. If you were only presented this information with no other context, would you feel confident to definitively say you know what the team’s strength is?
Offenses faced
Colorado St-86
Michigan-119
UTSA-67
Miss St-78 (Van Buren first start)
ULM-127
OU-125
Defenses faced
Colorado St-104
Michigan-44
UTSA-85
Miss St-124
ULM-53
OU-48
I would imagine that other than to say youd expect them to do very well, you couldnt take much from the actual performances because of the poor quality of offenses. On the flip side, if you were presented this info, you would most likely draw that its been a much tougher road and may have even been a few bumps in the road but for the right team, could strengthen them and prepare them for the future. Would also have to assume the team is pretty good to have any real success:
Offenses faced
Clemson-10
Alabama-33
Auburn-35
Miss St-78
Kentucky-124
Defenses faced:
Kentucky-4
Auburn-47
Alabama-55
Clemson-60
Miss St-124
-You have to have an offense to be successful in the sport. Both of these teams have the horses to put up points. Thats not the question. The point in this matchup is that having to play a team with no offense changes your entire demeanor and approach to the game. The reality is that Texas has played such poor offenses that they have been able to play with no fear. Everything gets a lot tighter when you have to potentially trade shot for shot. We have seen UGA do it. No one can say if Texas has that capability until they are put in that spot.
-increasing levels of competition can cause the crow bar in the bike wheel phenomenon. TN is a case and point what I am describing. Were the #1 statistical offense and defense in the country prior to SEC play starting. The reality is, eventually, you hit a freeze point where teams are on equal footing with you. The jump up in the level of competition from what Texas has played to what they will get saturday isnt even on the same planet. Georgia has played teams in that stratosphere and has proven they meet the freeze point. Time will tell if Texas does.
The bottom line in this specific matchup is that no one knows anything about Texas. They replaced a ton from the offense last year, replacing key guys on defense, finished #124 in passing yards allowed last year, and Ewers is coming back from injury. UGA on the other hand has been tested, has played in a hostile environment, has proven they have an elite offense, and has the history to show only 1 program has gotten the best of them since November 2020. Draw any conclusion that you’d like about the lull moments this season because I get. However, this season isnt about style points, its just about winning because the resume will speak for itself. Someone with kirby’s success and a program with as much talent is not going to overlook this Texas game and come unprepared.
This post isnt about convincing you UGA will win or how great we but instead is about stating some truths that we all know to be fact about college football as it relates to this game:
-You have to have a certain talent level to have the opportunity to compete. Let’s state the obvious, Texas and UGA have PREMIER rosters. Very little difference. Has been and was always going to be a war between the 2 programs.
-schedules aren’t equal and records are not indicative of team strength. When teams are on equal footing talent wise, its very easy to seek validation for your program or to invalidate an opponent by being results based. The problem with being results based in college football is it’s not apples to apples. Many people are quick to praise Texas and bash UGA based on surface level statistics and record. If you were only presented this information with no other context, would you feel confident to definitively say you know what the team’s strength is?
Offenses faced
Colorado St-86
Michigan-119
UTSA-67
Miss St-78 (Van Buren first start)
ULM-127
OU-125
Defenses faced
Colorado St-104
Michigan-44
UTSA-85
Miss St-124
ULM-53
OU-48
I would imagine that other than to say youd expect them to do very well, you couldnt take much from the actual performances because of the poor quality of offenses. On the flip side, if you were presented this info, you would most likely draw that its been a much tougher road and may have even been a few bumps in the road but for the right team, could strengthen them and prepare them for the future. Would also have to assume the team is pretty good to have any real success:
Offenses faced
Clemson-10
Alabama-33
Auburn-35
Miss St-78
Kentucky-124
Defenses faced:
Kentucky-4
Auburn-47
Alabama-55
Clemson-60
Miss St-124
-You have to have an offense to be successful in the sport. Both of these teams have the horses to put up points. Thats not the question. The point in this matchup is that having to play a team with no offense changes your entire demeanor and approach to the game. The reality is that Texas has played such poor offenses that they have been able to play with no fear. Everything gets a lot tighter when you have to potentially trade shot for shot. We have seen UGA do it. No one can say if Texas has that capability until they are put in that spot.
-increasing levels of competition can cause the crow bar in the bike wheel phenomenon. TN is a case and point what I am describing. Were the #1 statistical offense and defense in the country prior to SEC play starting. The reality is, eventually, you hit a freeze point where teams are on equal footing with you. The jump up in the level of competition from what Texas has played to what they will get saturday isnt even on the same planet. Georgia has played teams in that stratosphere and has proven they meet the freeze point. Time will tell if Texas does.
The bottom line in this specific matchup is that no one knows anything about Texas. They replaced a ton from the offense last year, replacing key guys on defense, finished #124 in passing yards allowed last year, and Ewers is coming back from injury. UGA on the other hand has been tested, has played in a hostile environment, has proven they have an elite offense, and has the history to show only 1 program has gotten the best of them since November 2020. Draw any conclusion that you’d like about the lull moments this season because I get. However, this season isnt about style points, its just about winning because the resume will speak for itself. Someone with kirby’s success and a program with as much talent is not going to overlook this Texas game and come unprepared.
