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How many points will UGA need to beat Bama?

For all you “we need at least 30” folks. Here are the teams Alabama has scored 30+:

Middle Tennessee
Miss St (fired coach)
Tennessee (34)
LSU (defense is trash, an outlier in almost every sense)
Kentucky (already damaged goods)
UTC

Teams they scored <30 against:

Texas
South Florida
Ole Miss
TAMU
Arkansas
Auburn
 
For all you “we need at least 30” folks. Here are the teams Alabama has scored 30+:

Middle Tennessee
Miss St (fired coach)
Tennessee (34)
LSU (defense is trash, an outlier in almost every sense)
Kentucky (already damaged goods)
UTC

Teams they scored <30 against:

Texas
South Florida
Ole Miss
TAMU
Arkansas
Auburn
I understand your facts sir, I prefer my gut that says we need 30+. Lower scoring game would be to Bama's advantage.
 
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30 is the magic number. The only time Kirby scored 30 against Saban, We won.

2017: 26-23 L
2018: 35-28 L
2020: 41-24 L
2021: 41-24 L
2021: 33-18 W
 
Yeah, “1 more than them” is really cute and original but let’s put a number on it.
I'd say at least 31, only because in these games they always allow more holding and physical play, except for pass interference. They may call that. For that reason the scores will probably be higher than normal.
 
In every loss we've had vs bama, we've failed to reach 30. The one time we got 30 or more, we won.

I'm thinking we need to score 30 at the very least.... maybe even 38 if the defense really decides to take the day off like they did vs tech.
Those offenses by Bama were far better than this version. Imop
 
Playing an elite rushing team as a team that still hasn't figured out how to set an edge? 35 I'd say.
You lost me at "elite rushing team". They are 6th in the conference in ypg, seventh in ypc. When you filter it to rushing vs. P5 teams, they are 7th and 9th, respectively.

gtu is a better rushing team than Bama. Bama averages 3.89 ypc vs P5 opponents.

Any way you size that up, it's not "elite".
 
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Disirregardless of what we need to win, I want to hang 65 on this Alabama team and send them back to their has-been town licking their buttholes.
 
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