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My election prediction state by state

PotimusWillie

B2B Caffeinated Nat’l Champion
Gold Member
Jan 5, 2009
19,688
34,219
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Virginia, Colorado is a tossup. Any other fluctuations would be anomalies.

Just my take as I see it. Arm wrestle if you like.

Trump can lose PA, CO and Virginia and still win. But he won’t lose PA.

Alabama 9 votes. Trump 9
Alaska 3 votes. Trump 12
Arizona 11 votes. Trump 23
Arkansa 6 Trump 29
California 54
Colorado 10.
Connecticut 7.
DC 3.
Delaware 3.
Florida 30. Trump 59
Georgia 16. Trump 75
Hawaii 4.
Idaho 4. Trump 79
Indiana 11. Trump 90
Kentucky 8. Trump 98
Illinois 11.
Iowa 6. Trump 104
Kansas 6. Trump 110
Louisiana 8. Trump 118
Maine 4.
Maryland 10.
Mass 11.
Miss 10. Trump 128
Michigan. 15 Trump 143
Minnesota 10.
Missouri. 6. Trump 149
Montana 4. Trump 153
Nebraska 6. Trump 159
Nevada 6. Trump 165
New Hampshire 4.
New Jersey 14.
New Mexico 5.
New York 28.
North Carolina 16. Trump 181
North Dakota 3. Trump 184
Ohio 17. Trump 201
Oregon 8.
Pennsylvania 19. Trump 220
Rhode Island 4.
South Carolina 9. Trump 229
South Dakota 3. Trump 232
Tennessee 11. Trump 243
Texas 40. Trump 283
Utah 6
Vermont 3.
Virginia 13. Trump 296
Washington 12.
Wisconsin 10. Trump 306
West Virginia 4. Trump 310
Wyoming 3. Trump 313
 
Trump wins 30-32 of the states.
The FEMA disaster and unrest around the world might be the difference. Biden / Harris team looks totally incompetent while Vance looks like the only adult in the room. I would give Trump / Vance the edge at this point.
 
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Virginia, Colorado is a tossup. Any other fluctuations would be anomalies.

Just my take as I see it. Arm wrestle if you like.

Trump can lose PA, CO and Virginia and still win. But he won’t lose PA.

Alabama 9 votes. Trump 9
Alaska 3 votes. Trump 12
Arizona 11 votes. Trump 23
Arkansa 6 Trump 29
California 54
Colorado 10.
Connecticut 7.
DC 3.
Delaware 3.
Florida 30. Trump 59
Georgia 16. Trump 75
Hawaii 4.
Idaho 4. Trump 79
Indiana 11. Trump 90
Kentucky 8. Trump 98
Illinois 11.
Iowa 6. Trump 104
Kansas 6. Trump 110
Louisiana 8. Trump 118
Maine 4.
Maryland 10.
Mass 11.
Miss 10. Trump 128
Michigan. 15 Trump 143
Minnesota 10.
Missouri. 6. Trump 149
Montana 4. Trump 153
Nebraska 6. Trump 159
Nevada 6. Trump 165
New Hampshire 4.
New Jersey 14.
New Mexico 5.
New York 28.
North Carolina 16. Trump 181
North Dakota 3. Trump 184
Ohio 17. Trump 201
Oregon 8.
Pennsylvania 19. Trump 220
Rhode Island 4.
South Carolina 9. Trump 229
South Dakota 3. Trump 232
Tennessee 11. Trump 243
Texas 40. Trump 283
Utah 6
Vermont 3.
Virginia 13. Trump 296
Washington 12.
Wisconsin 10. Trump 306
West Virginia 4. Trump 310
Wyoming 3. Trump 313
 
The FEMA disaster and unrest around the world might be the difference. Biden / Harris team looks totally incompetent while Vance looks like the only adult in the room. I would give Trump / Vance the edge at this point.
My take is that budget killer food and fuel prices, ridiculous DEI policies gave the edge to Trump/Vance long ago.

The fact that we are disrespected internationally means the world could implode and make life as we know it impossible.

The idea that ANYONE could be swayed by anything Harris could say is ridiculous. She proved her point long ago.
 
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