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ND - Bitcoin

acndog

Pillar of the DawgVent
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Oct 20, 2002
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...low-5-900-to-wrap-up-a-gloomy-2018-first-half

Everyone laughed at Yale Professor, Robert Schiller (who coined the phrase “irrational exuberance”), when he predicted the housing bubble before the crash. Everyone laughed at him again when he said crypto currency was a bigger bubble. This is him now ...
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Not sure it's fair to say everyone laughed at him regarding crypto currency, plenty were skeptical/completely bearish. It's totally obvious that 99.99% of the coins are worthless and the exuberence was pure speculation, but blockchain technology is without question a game changer and here to stay. Whether any of the underlying coins can hold any value is still very much TBD. Even after the massive pullback, BTC is still up 250% year to year.
 
The issue seems to me is that you CAN'T buy anything with it.. The day that Amazon takes bitcoin is the day that it goes to a million dollars a bitcoin.... but you can't call something a currency unless you can use it as one..

Also, take this for what you want, my buddy works at Fort Meade and he says that block chain will be obsolete in 5 years when Quantum Computing is used by companies...
 
The issue seems to me is that you CAN'T buy anything with it.. The day that Amazon takes bitcoin is the day that it goes to a million dollars a bitcoin.... but you can't call something a currency unless you can use it as one..

Also, take this for what you want, my buddy works at Fort Meade and he says that block chain will be obsolete in 5 years when Quantum Computing is used by companies...

No doubt Bitcoin/Crypto is entirely too volatile to be a medium of exchange for most right now. But there is potentially something to the idea. I don't think there's anything wrong with gambling a reasonable amount in the sector.

Quantum computing is going to make all current technology totally obsolete just as whatever follows quantum computing will make it obsolete as well. Your checking account isn't safe with quantum computing. There's nothing to definitely say a coin won't adapted and evolve with the technology. Criminals have robbed banks, trains, and hacked into accounts for years, that has never rendered fiat money obsolete.
 
Correct - it was Shiller’s book title
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Schiller should demand that Paul Krugman's name be removed from the cover of his book. Below is Krugman's blog in the NY Times the morning after Trump's election:

Paul Krugman: The Economic Fallout
By PAUL KRUGMAN

It really does now look like President Donald J. Trump, and markets are plunging. When might we expect them to recover?

Frankly, I find it hard to care much, even though this is my specialty. The disaster for America and the world has so many aspects that the economic ramifications are way down my list of things to fear.

Still, I guess people want an answer: If the question is when markets will recover, a first-pass answer is never.

Under any circumstances, putting an irresponsible, ignorant man who takes his advice from all the wrong people in charge of the nation with the world’s most important economy would be very bad news. What makes it especially bad right now, however, is the fundamentally fragile state much of the world is still in, eight years after the great financial crisis.

It’s true that we’ve been adding jobs at a pretty good pace and are quite close to full employment. But we’ve been doing O.K. only thanks to extremely low interest rates. There’s nothing wrong with that per se. But what if something bad happens and the economy needs a boost? The Fed and its counterparts abroad basically have very little room for further rate cuts, and therefore very little ability to respond to adverse events.

Now comes the mother of all adverse effects — and what it brings with it is a regime that will be ignorant of economic policy and hostile to any effort to make it work. Effective fiscal support for the Fed? Not a chance. In fact, you can bet that the Fed will lose its independence, and be bullied by cranks.

So we are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight. I suppose we could get lucky somehow. But on economics, as on everything else, a terrible thing has just happened.
 
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