while this is true (and there are some fuzzy things in every poll) you can't look at the NYT poll and scoff.
The overall trend, especially among LVs, is toward Biden, but that could change on a Beck thrown dime.
NonDawg 100K @ NJ Trump rally?! 👏🏻💪🏻
- Thread starter DallasDawg225
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The overall trend, especially among LVs, is toward Biden, but that could change on a Beck thrown dime.
I actually agree with you that polls are not to be taken as permanent gospel. But historically the polls have underestimated Trump. Especially the NYT polls.
Is "LV" Latin for Pro Hamas?
Hogan is not worth spit. RINO at best. Demolackie is more accurate.
Compared to the leftist filth that comes out of Baltimore, he's Ronald Reagan.
Well then, I'll use @willdup 's favorite source to clarify this one for you. Per ChatGPT:
In United States politics, "red states" and "blue states" refer to states that predominantly support the Republican Party or the Democratic Party, respectively, in elections.
- **Red States:** These states are generally aligned with the Republican Party. In elections, they tend to vote for Republican candidates, and their political culture and policies often reflect conservative values. The color red is associated with the Republican Party.
- **Blue States:** These states are generally aligned with the Democratic Party. In elections, they tend to vote for Democratic candidates, and their political culture and policies often reflect liberal or progressive values. The color blue is associated with the Democratic Party.
This color-coding system became widely popular during the 2000 presidential election and has been commonly used since then in media and political analysis.
In what world is this an "interesting observation"? This is just another bitter leftist trying to cope with current polls by making an unsupported claim.
It's actually a really simple system that makes complete sense. Not sure what your issue with it is, but the terms "red state" and "blue state" have obvious meaning.
"He's flawed but he's the only one that can defeat Biden." 😂😂I'm not punching your tar baby today, even though it's a beaut.
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I am too tired to go in depth here, but suffice it to say it's a product of media-driven politics: not sophisticated, not interesting, and ruinous in several additional ways.
Meanwhile, Trone got smoked in MD. ~13 point polling error in Alsobrooks favor. I move the Hogan loss/margin from ~10 to ~15... but it is going to cost Ds dearly because Trone could have self-funded.
Just a warning to all of us: the polls are badly broken. Another potential usefully data source corrupted by corporate media in order to drive the frenzy, ratings, clicks, and etc.
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Okay @MassachusettsDawg, after talking to my most involved Baltimore / MD political wonk / lawyer friend, he also thinks Hogan has a better chance than MD structural factors should allow.
He thinks Alsobrooks better than Trone would have been.... etc.
As such, I am cutting my projected margin in half - call it ~7.5, which with a campaign to go is certainly doable. But one should give the D the opening edge in a historically (and recently) safe D state.
