Even MORE good news! All the death predictions of the experts have been spectacularly wrong...

[JohnnyBeeDawg]

The experts were predicting over 800,000 deaths worldwide by Mar. 31.
It's Mar. 27: 24,900 deaths.
Growth rate last 10 days: 11.4%/day.
At this rate, it'll be at LESS THAN 39,000 -- less than half of the lowest estimates.

 

[JudgeLarryDawg]

Do you have stats on the virus in your city?

 

[JohnnyBeeDawg]

Do you have stats on the virus in your city?

We have 15 in our county. This comes from clean living, and clean hands, and less fingers in nostrils than ever.

 

[kdsdawg]

JBD spewing out facts this morning, not gonna sit well with the fish dude

 

[mattdawg]

Wasn’t this supposed to be the worst week we’ve ever lived through?? I saw that headline on CNN last weekend? Today? It’s this next week!!! Oh yeah. That makes sense. ‍♂️

 

[3 Pete]

less fingers in nostrils

I’ll have to get a new hobby.

 

[so_comfort1]

The poll says 2021 not 2020

 

[so_comfort1]

@JohnnyBeeDawg

Now that you know the dates you were speaking of were incorrect you should probably change your thread title and conclusions for accuracy. Don't want "Fake News" spreading.

 

[so_comfort1]

Growth rate last 10 days: 11.4%/day.

Here's what the total # of deaths growth rate looks like currently:

 

[Deadlyputter]

US Coronavirus
Cases, 93,131
Deaths, 1,382
.015 death rate

 

[so_comfort1]

US Coronavirus
Cases, 93,131
Deaths, 1,382
.015 death rate

All true stats for our current situation.

But, it's not about where we are, it's about where we're headed.

 

[Deadlyputter]

All true stats for our current situation.

But, it's not about where we are, it's about where we're headed.

That's actually only part of the story. Its where we perceive its headed and that's mostly driven by the MSM. And they are concentrating on number of cases vs number of deaths which IMO are causing more panic than is necessary. Dr Birx seems to be the most rational of the experts. Trumps latest comments on doing a county by county assessment and opening back up those that are the least at risk also seems the most rational. Why close a state that has zero cases or less than ten? Same for a county.

 

[so_comfort1]

To be fair there are plenty of epidemiological experts that disagree with Dr. Brix's assessments.

Sadly, this has become a textbook example of confirmation bias. There are so many expert models out there that we all are tending to believe the ones that fit our preconceived ideas.

 

[Spamdawg]

The experts were predicting over 800,000 deaths worldwide by Mar. 31.
It's Mar. 27: 24,900 deaths.
Growth rate last 10 days: 11.4%/day.
At this rate, it'll be at LESS THAN 39,000 -- less than half of the lowest estimates.

Good news is due to the social distancing measures in place. That is the way to fight this for now. Sorry, but you’re poll looks more like a Buzzfeed poll than expert predictions.

 

[celticdawg]

US Coronavirus
Cases, 93,131
Deaths, 1,382
.015 death rate

Numbers seem reasonable, but I don't think it's the appropriate calculation. Just my guess, from the various estimates, but I don't think the death rate will be 1.5% based on what we know now. Some seem to doubt Dr. Fauci, but I have heard him use 1% as the death rate.

That's actually only part of the story. Its where we perceive its headed and that's mostly driven by the MSM. And they are concentrating on number of cases vs number of deaths which IMO are causing more panic than is necessary. Dr Birx seems to be the most rational of the experts. Trumps latest comments on doing a county by county assessment and opening back up those that are the least at risk also seems the most rational. Why close a state that has zero cases or less than ten? Same for a county.

Yes, where is it headed? I assume your referring to "main stream media", which is not what I rely on in perceiving what is going on. And definitely not something that just appears on the internet. I am not a fan of most of the media and I agree much is either biased or just ratings driven. What's important is how the various governments are perceiving where its heading. I don't see that it's driven by the MSM, but at lower levels might not be made for the "right" reasons.

We can't control people from hoarding (though now there are some controls) and we can't keep people from committing suicide because they test positive.

I believe counties are doing their own assessment. In Florida, the governor has declined to do a statewide stay-at-home. So not every county has "closed". I'm not sure about NY or LA as far as statewide, but there are areas in those states that have a lot of cases right now.

To be fair there are plenty of epidemiological experts that disagree with Dr. Brix's assessments.

Sadly, this has become a textbook example of confirmation bias. There are so many expert models out there that we all are tending to believe the ones that fit our preconceived ideas.

Very good. There are plenty of experts out there (and even more who claim some expertise), but it's been a quickly changing scenario that's hard to predict. As a simple example, the current number of cases is going to vary greatly based on the testing and the amount/type of quarantines that are in existence. Quite a lot of variability in estimates is to be expected.

Yes, confirmation bias. Very prominent in our current situation. And then I have seen a lot of bias in how something is presented.

 

[JohnnyBeeDawg]

Here's what the total # of deaths growth rate looks like currently:

Will the worldwide deaths still be over 800,000 by month end?

 

[JohnnyBeeDawg]

Good news is due to the social distancing measures in place. That is the way to fight this for now. Sorry, but you’re poll looks more like a Buzzfeed poll than expert predictions.

LOL. I don’t think the social distancing was being done when the present cases were being contracted.
Guess what? The reality of this virus is magnitudes less than the insane predictions. That’s a fact. It’s not an assessment.

 

[EufaulaDawg]

We have 15 in our county. This comes from clean living, and clean hands, and less fingers in nostrils than ever.

We need contact Dr. Brule,,,,,he digs in his nose way too much

 

[so_comfort1]

Will the worldwide deaths still be over 800,000 by month end?

Re read your graphic and pay special attention to the year.

When you see it you'll be embarrassed

 

[Eastmandawg]

All true stats for our current situation.

But, it's not about where we are, it's about where we're headed.

where are we headed??

 

[REEDCREEKDOG]

The experts were predicting over 800,000 deaths worldwide by Mar. 31.
It's Mar. 27: 24,900 deaths.
Growth rate last 10 days: 11.4%/day.
At this rate, it'll be at LESS THAN 39,000 -- less than half of the lowest estimates.

Your efforts to demonstrate what a dumbass you are have long since reached the point of diminishing return.

 

[Eastmandawg]

Your efforts to demonstrate what a dumbass you are have long since reached the point of diminishing return.

has called JohnnyBee many things thru the years, but “dumbass” ain’t one of them.

You need to do your homework...

 

[REEDCREEKDOG]

US Coronavirus
Cases, 93,131
Deaths, 1,382
.015 death rate

Wish someone would figure out why, based on this metric, the death rate in GA is twice that.

 

[REEDCREEKDOG]

has called JohnnyBee many things thru the years, but “dumbass” ain’t one of them.

You need to do your homework...

Try reading this thread and looking at his chart again. Did you do YOUR homework? Don’t tell me the dog ate it.

 

[so_comfort1]

where are we headed??

Hope it's toward the low end of the projections.

 

[JohnnyBeeDawg]

Re read your graphic and pay special attention to the year.

When you see it you'll be embarrassed

Nope. Ain’t gonna be there

 

[so_comfort1]

Nope. Ain’t gonna be there

So, you missed a very important detail that completely undermines the crux of your argument, and you won't even take two seconds to verify.

Cest la vie

 

[JCarbo76]

Wish someone would figure out why, based on this metric, the death rate in GA is twice that.

Because Georgia’s testing isn’t nearly as widespread as NY’s has been. Thus, we really have no clue about how many cases we have.

 

[REEDCREEKDOG]

Because Georgia’s testing isn’t nearly as widespread as NY’s has been. Thus, we really have no clue about how many case we have.

Thanks. I should have thought of that, I guess.

 

[ugafish]

The poll says 2021 not 2020

What an idiot that guy is.

 

[brimur]

Hahahaha. I love the first half of this thread versus the second half of this thread. It's a wonder the first half guys were literate enough to post. Important to read the year on a prediction.