Dude disappeared faster than someone in the “witness protection program”. 😂😂😂 He was always FOS even before his BS prognostications.
Harris up in IOWA in latest poll …
- Thread starter PharmDawg08
- Start date
This pollster has gotten Iowa right within 1-2 pts in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
- The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how
The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”www.desmoinesregister.com
I think it would only be appropriate if @PharmDawg08 responded...to anything. He certainly had a lot to say, just prior to the election.
Keeping my head in the sand....you keep yours up your Ass....
When I was a child, I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I became a man, I put away childish things
EXCUSE MAKING (<--link)
"In response to a critique that I “manipulated” the data, or had been paid (by some anonymous source, presumably on the Democratic side), or that I was exercising psyops or some sort of voter suppression: I told more than one news outlet that the findings from this last poll could actually energize and activate Republican voters who thought they would likely coast to victory. Maybe that’s what happened.
In 2004, the final Iowa Poll had John Kerry with a small 3-point lead over President George W. Bush. In the end, Bush won Iowa by less than a percentage point. I had the good fortune to run into former Gov. Terry Branstad, who gave me a masterclass on why things move late. He credited an enormous rally in Sioux City, closed to the press, with activating a turnout strategy he thought led to a substantial widening of the Bush winning margin in the 5th Congressional District in western Iowa. He also suspected that rally was the cause of Sen. Tom Daschle getting drummed out of office in South Dakota.
That story stays with me now. But, what other stories are out there to explain the miss? We’ll be looking at turnout rates at the polls and comparing them to our demographic mix. We’ll be looking at what amount to tea leaves in our poll about the trending story about Black and Latino men’s growing alignment with Trump and his policies. We’ll be looking at how the late deciders fell, if we can figure that out without a traditional exit poll for Iowa."
‘I was wrong, but maybe my poll caused GOP turnout to increase even though it’s a ruby red state that even Kamala’s people knew they had no shot at winning’ is quite the takeaway here.
And also, the complete arrogance of Harris-supporters in this thread at those of us that noted the obvious flaws in this poll (and their subsequent insistence it meant "bad news" for Trump) is sweet, sweet schadenfreude. I'm not surprised they haven't showed here, since.
"In response to a critique that I “manipulated” the data, or had been paid (by some anonymous source, presumably on the Democratic side), or that I was exercising psyops or some sort of voter suppression: I told more than one news outlet that the findings from this last poll could actually energize and activate Republican voters who thought they would likely coast to victory. Maybe that’s what happened.
In 2004, the final Iowa Poll had John Kerry with a small 3-point lead over President George W. Bush. In the end, Bush won Iowa by less than a percentage point. I had the good fortune to run into former Gov. Terry Branstad, who gave me a masterclass on why things move late. He credited an enormous rally in Sioux City, closed to the press, with activating a turnout strategy he thought led to a substantial widening of the Bush winning margin in the 5th Congressional District in western Iowa. He also suspected that rally was the cause of Sen. Tom Daschle getting drummed out of office in South Dakota.
That story stays with me now. But, what other stories are out there to explain the miss? We’ll be looking at turnout rates at the polls and comparing them to our demographic mix. We’ll be looking at what amount to tea leaves in our poll about the trending story about Black and Latino men’s growing alignment with Trump and his policies. We’ll be looking at how the late deciders fell, if we can figure that out without a traditional exit poll for Iowa."
‘I was wrong, but maybe my poll caused GOP turnout to increase even though it’s a ruby red state that even Kamala’s people knew they had no shot at winning’ is quite the takeaway here.
And also, the complete arrogance of Harris-supporters in this thread at those of us that noted the obvious flaws in this poll (and their subsequent insistence it meant "bad news" for Trump) is sweet, sweet schadenfreude. I'm not surprised they haven't showed here, since.
He ran away like a scared little girl. Or maybe a boy that wants to be a girl. I don't know anymore.
Our friend Bad Marmot, Groundhog, Gopher, Woodchuck, Prairie Dog Et.al....has gone into early hibernation. Hopefully his winter of discontent will last for the next 4 years....
This pollster has gotten Iowa right within 1-2 pts in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
- The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how
The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”www.desmoinesregister.com
At least she went out on top. 😀
I'm still interested in a follow-up from those defending the Selzer poll and saw it as a clear sign of an impending Harris victory...
I'm still interested in a follow-up from those defending the Selzer poll and saw it as a clear sign of an impending Harris victory...
Yep...extremely Butthurt after being bent over by Trump on election night...
These are important tweets to re-read. Seltzer was predicting older white women to be more liberal than the state of California. Abject nonsense.
It was really misleading to Democrats.
It's why I keep hoping for any sort of reply. I pointed out at the time what you quote above regarding how completely ridiculous the cross-tabs were, got mocked a bit for it ("go outside!" which was funny, tbh), but then was told that this poll is a clear indicator of what to expect on election day...and the worst offenders haven't even bothered to acknowledge it.
I'm reminded of this performance by Stevie Nicks and Lindsay Buckingham. Over time it takes on new meaning and I believe is more suited to an older and wiser pair.
Ms. Revered is retiring in disgrace....another Dem useful idiot
He must have changed his name…still no response? LOL 😂
