Robert Cahaly from Trafalgar and Matt Towrey
Here is summary:
1. Their polling numbers have Trump slightly above the Real Clear Polics average for each state
2. They think all are within the margin of error but Georgia, they have Trump up 3% and they don't think this will change.
3. Black voter participation is down 3% in several swing states (Slightly more in Georgia)
4. They have Trump with a slight lead in Nevada but says the Unions bus their base in on Friday and Saturday so wouldn't trust that poll until the end.
5. Made fun of California voting, said they could legitimately have 80% participation with only 60% of registered voters voting. Said its a complete sh%T show with absentee voting and the California Gov't doesn't seem to care. Said anyone that wants to abolish the electoral college should just look at California.
6. Said the Wisconsin same day registration and vote makes polling almost impossible.
7. Both stressed it could go either way- referenced absentee ballots and little verification in large cities in swing states ( I chuckled and cringed on that one)
8. Said to expect some fake polls to come out late to try to energize dems in weekend before election (I think we saw some of them come out already)
9. Said the Biden's trash comment resignated with Trump base, expect near 100% participation from the 75% or more Trumpers.
Good listen, don't have the link. I think they try to get it near 100% correct but they are definitely conservatives so discount as you like.
Here is summary:
1. Their polling numbers have Trump slightly above the Real Clear Polics average for each state
2. They think all are within the margin of error but Georgia, they have Trump up 3% and they don't think this will change.
3. Black voter participation is down 3% in several swing states (Slightly more in Georgia)
4. They have Trump with a slight lead in Nevada but says the Unions bus their base in on Friday and Saturday so wouldn't trust that poll until the end.
5. Made fun of California voting, said they could legitimately have 80% participation with only 60% of registered voters voting. Said its a complete sh%T show with absentee voting and the California Gov't doesn't seem to care. Said anyone that wants to abolish the electoral college should just look at California.
6. Said the Wisconsin same day registration and vote makes polling almost impossible.
7. Both stressed it could go either way- referenced absentee ballots and little verification in large cities in swing states ( I chuckled and cringed on that one)
8. Said to expect some fake polls to come out late to try to energize dems in weekend before election (I think we saw some of them come out already)
9. Said the Biden's trash comment resignated with Trump base, expect near 100% participation from the 75% or more Trumpers.
Good listen, don't have the link. I think they try to get it near 100% correct but they are definitely conservatives so discount as you like.
