on projected schedule if not a *touch* early. The first two Southern states to start up were Missouri and Arkansas and...
Missouri has peaked and is rolling down.
Arkansas has peaked and is rolling down.
Texas may have peaked and begun decreasing.
I think Alabama and Georgia are very close to peak. Previously said Georgia would peak around 25 AUG +- a few days. It *may* be on the early side of 25 AUG. Georgia ER visits with COVID appear to have plateaued and positivity percentage has also stopped increasing. Those are two good indications we are close.
The rest of the South should follow in a cluster with GA/AL.
Continued (relatively) good news from the data - which of course the media does not point out - is that deaths seem to be staying relatively low in this surge. Deaths do lag and it will take more time for the data to develop but *right now* there are indications deaths have been decoupled from rising cases. This is good news for confidence in vaccines as symptom stoppers (not spread stoppers) and for natural immunity probably helping as well.
Missouri has peaked and is rolling down.
Arkansas has peaked and is rolling down.
Texas may have peaked and begun decreasing.
I think Alabama and Georgia are very close to peak. Previously said Georgia would peak around 25 AUG +- a few days. It *may* be on the early side of 25 AUG. Georgia ER visits with COVID appear to have plateaued and positivity percentage has also stopped increasing. Those are two good indications we are close.
The rest of the South should follow in a cluster with GA/AL.
Continued (relatively) good news from the data - which of course the media does not point out - is that deaths seem to be staying relatively low in this surge. Deaths do lag and it will take more time for the data to develop but *right now* there are indications deaths have been decoupled from rising cases. This is good news for confidence in vaccines as symptom stoppers (not spread stoppers) and for natural immunity probably helping as well.
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