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Must watch if you are worried about the Trump economy….

-lowcountrydawg

Pillar of the DawgVent
Gold Member
May 20, 2002
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charleston sc usa
One of the smartest guys out there. Addresses tariffs, doge, and most importantly the switcharoo from a federal government based economy to a private sector focused economy.

Zervos is not political. He is one of the most respected investment strategy guys anywhere.

Supports the gotta break some eggs (quickly in this case) to make an omelet thesis on what we are seeing on economic policy here.

 
One of the smartest guys out there. Addresses tariffs, doge, and most importantly the switcharoo from a federal government based economy to a private sector focused economy.

Zervos is not political. He is one of the most respected investment strategy guys anywhere.

Supports the gotta break some eggs (quickly in this case) to make an omelet thesis on what we are seeing on economic policy here.

We’ll know in 90 days.

Inflation is a presidency killer. Biden learned this. We’ll see if Trump does.

Also, I’m not sure what this guy is talking about. Cutting government spending does not offset tariffs nor inflation. Also it’s net neutral if congress deauthorizes the tax rates.

Again, all will become clear soon enough.
 
We’ll know in 90 days.

Inflation is a presidency killer. Biden learned this. We’ll see if Trump does.

Also, I’m not sure what this guy is talking about. Cutting government spending does not offset tariffs nor inflation. Also it’s net neutral if congress deauthorizes the tax rates.

Again, all will become clear soon enough.
1) macro economic conditions don’t change in 90 days.

2) zero chance we see the kind of inflation we saw under Biden. Will be between 2 and 3 percent. Trump will benefit from the archaic way they measure housing inflation. Rents will begin to go up this summer but it won’t be reflected in the numbers for awhile. Oil is already way down.

3) cutting government spending does two things, both of which will continue to bring rates down. 1 - reduces the bond market’s concerns about deficit spending and the risk premium required to invest in US treasuries. 2 - federal payroll cuts will soften payroll data and unemployment rate, which will have the Fed lower rates to spurn private economic activity.
 
1) macro economic conditions don’t change in 90 days.

2) zero chance we see the kind of inflation we saw under Biden. Will be between 2 and 3 percent. Trump will benefit from the archaic way they measure housing inflation. Rents will begin to go up this summer but it won’t be reflected in the numbers for awhile. Oil is already way down.

3) cutting government spending does two things, both of which will continue to bring rates down. 1 - reduces the bond market’s concerns about deficit spending and the risk premium required to invest in US treasuries. 2 - federal payroll cuts will soften payroll data and unemployment rate, which will have the Fed lower rates to spurn private economic activity.
I’m hopeful you are correct.
 
We’ll know in 90 days.

Inflation is a presidency killer. Biden learned this. We’ll see if Trump does.

Also, I’m not sure what this guy is talking about. Cutting government spending does not offset tariffs nor inflation. Also it’s net neutral if congress deauthorizes the tax rates.

Again, all will become clear soon enough.
Think Trump is thinking much longer term than that.
 
I was promised a “golden age” and everything would become cheaper on Day 1 - was that just a lie?

mad martial arts GIF
 
We’ll know in 90 days.

Inflation is a presidency killer. Biden learned this. We’ll see if Trump does.

Also, I’m not sure what this guy is talking about. Cutting government spending does not offset tariffs nor inflation. Also it’s net neutral if congress deauthorizes the tax rates.

Again, all will become clear soon enough.
I don’t think Biden learned this.
 
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