Thought you might like this meme.The basis trade. Provides opportunity for China to pile on by dumping treasuries. The bond auctions today will be a big deal.

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Thought you might like this meme.The basis trade. Provides opportunity for China to pile on by dumping treasuries. The bond auctions today will be a big deal.
Probably no one answer - "how low can you go":“Short term pain” is the new lingo. How exactly short term are we talking here?
Well, I feel better now.A better tell than dow futures on what the market thinks of Trump tariff announcement.
If it goes way down the market real time hates what djt is saying and expect a terrible day in stock market tomorrow.
It will be easier to buy a house tho….
So, Nike has their shoes made in China because labor is cheaper but the shoes are selling for $150-$200 when they get back to the US. How much does it cost to make the shoes? Is Nike passing on the savings or just selling for what they can get? If they get hit with a 50% tariff will they eat some or all of that to keep selling shoes? Will they move manufacturing back to the US? What is the benefit to Americans of all of this cheap labor?Yeah, tariffs are taxes. So lots of tariffs are a tax increase.
Luckily, I have explained this so many times on here that I think everyone gets it. But about two months ago, they were people who used to post on this board to tariffs were going to be paid by other countries, which is hilarious.
A tariff is an extra tax on imported good to make the domestic good more price competitive. It is literally artificially raising the price of a foreign-made good so that the American consumer will choose the American good. But either way, the price for that good has gone up.
So, this will increase inflation. The counter argument to that is that if overall economic activity slows, then they may cancel out.
I heard a podcast last week and they claimed Nike's gross margin on shoes made in Asia is +- 70%. IDK if that is true, but I am sure it is much more than 15-20% that a domestic manufacturer would hope to make. Since they cannot raise their shoe prices to cover the tariffs it will come out of their earnings.So, Nike has their shoes made in China because labor is cheaper but the shoes are selling for $150-$200 when they get back to the US. How much does it cost to make the shoes? Is Nike passing on the savings or just selling for what they can get? If they get hit with a 50% tariff will they eat some or all of that to keep selling shoes? Will they move manufacturing back to the US? What is the benefit to Americans of all of this cheap labor?
To think there is one answer to who pays the tariffs is a mistake. If China has a 50% tariff on us and we hit them with a similar tariff they will have to look at the big picture. They sell far more into the US than we sell to them so it will cost them more. Other countries have dropped or reduced their tariffs on us. If not, then it is up to the company or exporters to decide how much they want to pass onto the US consumers. If they are now uncompetitive because of the tariffs they may cut their margins and/or look to expand in other markets.
The president has a tax plan to lower taxes to help offset the cost of tariffs as well. Ultimately he will get fairer trade deals which will help us long term or he will fail. The old system wasn’t working so something needed to change.
We have destroyed towns and families when we exported our jobs to China. The cost to these communities is incalculable. Unemployment, depression, drugs, crime…. The other part is sending the jobs to China that steals our technology and gets rich off of us while planning our destruction.
We will be doing less and less with China and it is unfortunate for those who are invested there. Those jobs can me moved to other countries like Vietnam or even back to the states. This will take time and there will be pain but this is something Trump campaigned on and is needed.
That's not the way to look at it. China sells FAR more to the rest of the world than the US, about 85/15. Not selling to the US is painful, but it's not detrimental.They sell far more into the US than we sell to them so it will cost them more. Other countries have dropped or reduced their tariffs on us.
Nike doesn’t manufacture their own products- they contract with independent companies to manufacture them. They sell the right to the importer to contract that shoe to be made….usually overseas,I heard a podcast last week and they claimed Nike's gross margin on shoes made in Asia is +- 70%. IDK if that is true, but I am sure it is much more than 15-20% that a domestic manufacturer would hope to make. Since they cannot raise their shoe prices to cover the tariffs it will come out of their earnings.
I am glad I don't like Nike shoes; not at $200 and definitely not at $200+ tariffs.Nike doesn’t manufacture their own products- they contract with independent companies to manufacture them. They sell the right for the shoe manufacturer to slap the Nike logo on their shoe.
The 70% figure if that is indeed the number is needed for the manufacture to pay for their overhead and to make a profit.
When it all is netted down, they probably net anywhere for 15 to 20% in profit if they are lucky.
These shoes are imported over to US companies who then sell the shoe to Walmart, etc. The importer pays these tariffs and it’s passed on as a cost to the end seller….Walmart, etc.
Which in turn is passed on to the public.
You’re probably better off with a generic shoe as long as they are using good quality materials and the fit is good.I am glad I don't like Nike shoes; not at $200 and definitely not at $200+ tariffs.
You are making assumptions about the future. We’ll see.So, Nike has their shoes made in China because labor is cheaper but the shoes are selling for $150-$200 when they get back to the US. How much does it cost to make the shoes? Is Nike passing on the savings or just selling for what they can get? If they get hit with a 50% tariff will they eat some or all of that to keep selling shoes? Will they move manufacturing back to the US? What is the benefit to Americans of all of this cheap labor?
To think there is one answer to who pays the tariffs is a mistake. If China has a 50% tariff on us and we hit them with a similar tariff they will have to look at the big picture. They sell far more into the US than we sell to them so it will cost them more. Other countries have dropped or reduced their tariffs on us. If not, then it is up to the company or exporters to decide how much they want to pass onto the US consumers. If they are now uncompetitive because of the tariffs they may cut their margins and/or look to expand in other markets.
The president has a tax plan to lower taxes to help offset the cost of tariffs as well. Ultimately he will get fairer trade deals which will help us long term or he will fail. The old system wasn’t working so something needed to change.
We have destroyed towns and families when we exported our jobs to China. The cost to these communities is incalculable. Unemployment, depression, drugs, crime…. The other part is sending the jobs to China that steals our technology and gets rich off of us while planning our destruction.
We will be doing less and less with China and it is unfortunate for those who are invested there. Those jobs can me moved to other countries like Vietnam or even back to the states. This will take time and there will be pain but this is something Trump campaigned on and is needed.
Aren’t we all? Nobody knows how this will work out but I have a good idea where we were heading under the Dems.You are making assumptions about the future. We’ll see.
Perhaps, but the tariffs placed on China in 2018-2019 had little effect on pricing. Why is that?Nike doesn’t manufacture their own products- they contract with independent companies to manufacture them. They sell the right for the shoe manufacturer to slap the Nike logo on their shoe.
The 70% figure if that is indeed the number is needed for the manufacture to pay for their overhead and to make a profit.
When it all is netted down, they probably net anywhere for 15 to 20% in profit if they are lucky.
These shoes are imported over to US companies who then sell the shoe to Walmart, etc. The importer pays these tariffs and it’s passed on as a cost to the end seller….Walmart, etc.
Which in turn is passed on to the public.
Unless you know of something specifically, that is hard to answer. But in general, tariffs always affects pricing to the end user.Perhaps, but the tariffs placed on China in 2018-2019 had little effect on pricing. Why is that?
Well, he said “little effect”, which is actually very accurate. What you said is also true, in theory. Here is what happened with the original tariffs in practice. I work with importers and domestic factories and here is what we saw.Unless you know of something specifically, that is hard to answer. But in general, tariffs always affects pricing to the end user.
The importer pays the tariffs which is on top of the cost of the product. The importer has a set gross margin percents for all items. When their total cost goes up, so does their price to the retailers. It is dictated by the set gross margin percent.
That total cost of that product is then passed on to the retailers, their selling price to the end user goes up also. This is also dictated by set gross margin percents. It’s been this way forever.
So in other words, it creates higher prices to the consumer. If the importer or retailer didn’t adjust their prices to price increases, they would have trouble staying in business.
Pretty sure what you may be seeing now is that some people bought ahead from China before all of these tariffs hit (price increases). In the past - yes, sometimes the importer and factory split the cost....but it all still eats into their bottom line, just not as much if it's shared. From my understanding, some of the China factories are not wanting to do this now (split) - could all be posturing, pretty sure they are operating on such thin margins, they can't. A 100% plus number is a big number.Well, he said “little effect”, which is actually very accurate. What you said is also true, in theory. Here is what happened with the original tariffs in practice. I work with importers and domestic factories and here is what we saw.
First, most of the tariffs were absorbed by the Chinese factories through a lowering of prices. The US importers also absorbed some as well. Ultimately, all of my importers had little to no increase in price to the distributors.
Now, with these much higher tariffs here is what I have seen. There are some price increases but nothing close to the 50% or 100% that was added. With these much higher first ones, the factories and distributors absorbed all they could to hold pricing but they couldn’t do much more.
The biggest hit is to the Chinese factories(ie-Chinese government) I know importers pausing/canceling orders left and right. Factories are calling my guys begging them to take product. They are drowning in product and they have to keep the people working or there will be riots(figuratively, but maybe literally if this goes on for too long) I am also seeing several big distributors in the US who traditionally sell Chinese product who are calling my US manufacturers because they are now considering buying US product based on price and availability.
Let me clarify. I was confirming what he was saying about the original tariffs and I am directly involved in all of what I discussed so it's not just "what I am seeing". Other parts of the market may have done something different but I doubt it and I have not seen it in a significant way.Pretty sure what you may be seeing now is that some people bought ahead from China before all of these tariffs hit (price increases). In the past - yes, sometimes the importer and factory split the cost....but it all still eats into their bottom line, just not as much if it's shared. From my understanding, some of the China factories are not wanting to do this now (split) - could all be posturing, pretty sure they are operating on such thin margins, they can't. A 100% plus number is a big number.
Of course, the importer over here has a choice if Vietnam, Cambodia or India can provide the same. But some of these importers order out a year in advance, may be some temporary hurt.
Hopefully, the two countries will find some common ground.
Think we are basically saying the same thing.Let me clarify. I was confirming what he was saying about the original tariffs and I am directly involved in all of what I discussed so it's not just "what I am seeing". Other parts of the market may have done something different but I doubt it and I have not seen it in a significant way.
The additional tariffs will pass along more of the price increase but some absorption is happening there as well but each step in the supply chain now has less room for absorption. It is having an immediate impact on the Chinese factories and real pain is happening over there. I suspect the Chinese government will be subsidizing these factories to start dumping product soon to make things look better than they are. They have to keep people working or there will be unrest.