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Another good Erick Erickson piece on how republicans do not know how to win

richb1

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Congresswoman Lauren Boebert of Colorado has advanced a privileged motion on the floor of the House of Representatives to impeach the President of the United States. I find myself in the unusual position of siding with Speaker McCarthy and not the congresswoman. This is, right now, a bad idea poorly timed.

The congresswoman says part of the reason to advance this is because of the President’s handling of the border situation. It would be far wiser, strategically, to impeach the Secretary of Homeland Security who is responsible for the day to day issue. That would more likely get Republican votes and force more Democrats into awkward votes.

On the matter of the President, House Republicans are still digging into the issues related to Hunter Biden, Burisma, Biden family corruption, etc. To advance impeachment now would undermine the investigations that are ongoing. It would also undoubtedly fail in the Senate. In other words, it would undermine existing evidence collection, fail in the United States Senate, and waste everybody’s time.

Beyond impeaching President Biden, Republicans right now seem vastly more interested in fundraising off allegations they are raising about President Biden than showing independent and moderate voters that the GOP has a vision for the future. Part of this is the lack of a leader of the party. Though President Trump is nominally the leader of the party, he is battling nine others for the Republican presidential nomination. That leaves little time to help set a vision for the party.

Back in the 1990’s, Republicans spent an inordinate amount of time attacking the “Clinton Crime Family.” They investigated White Water, Vince Foster, and ultimately impeached Bill Clinton. Along the way, after a massive electoral shift in 1994 that saw the GOP take back Congress for the first time in forty years, Bob Dole lost the presidential race. Republicans had spent more time focusing on allegations of corruption and crime than on policy and vision.

Now, it seems every opportunity Republicans have to get air time is about the “Biden Crime Family.” Voters are worried about the cost of living, the culture, their retirements, and crime. The GOP message is that Joe Biden is corrupt and possibly criminal. Unfortunately for Republicans, swing voters they need to win in 2024 already think both parties are criminally corrupt. Republicans risk drowning out their own successes and policy visions while focused on the Biden family.

Cost of living is both an economic and cultural issue. It is the perfect way for Republicans to win the debate. Families cannot afford vacation. They cannot afford eating out. They can barely afford basic departures from work to the community pool. Every price has gone up. Meanwhile, Democrats are fighting to put boys on girls’ sports teams and shaming parents who dissent. Schools are failing, kids are regressing, and Democrats are far more interested in teaching kids about sex at drag queen story hour than teaching kids math and reading. This issue is ripe for the GOP.

To the extent the GOP is focusing on these issues, their media appearances more often are updates on their Biden investigation. The other day, Riley Gaines testified before the United States Senate. Gaines is a female swimmer who competed against the trans swimmer, Lia Thomas, who maintains male genitals and shared the changing room with female athletes. Gaines spoke of how female athletes were uncomfortable and bullied. Democrats tried to shame her. Progressives mocked her. Republican talk about Hunter and Joe Biden and Congresswoman Boebert’s impeachment motion overshadowed all the news and drama from the Senate hearing.

Republicans can and should investigate Biden family corruption. An impeachment motion would short circuit that investigation and it would go nowhere in the Senate. Republicans who lament a politically charged Justice Department cannot expect the Attorney General to take their allegations against the Biden family seriously. If they impeached the Homeland Security Secretary, they could highlight the border issue more dramatically. If they focused on tying economic and culture issues together, they could persuade independent voters to support them. Right now, the GOP seems stuck reliving the 1990’s, hoping for a blue stained dress.
 
Well, he's right and wrong. Certainly, Joe Biden is currently a huge political asset for the Republican party. I can't think of any one thing Biden is doing other than supporting abortion that resonates with any voting block. It would be a fools errand for the leadership of the Pubs to impeach and give the dems an off ramp from the disaster they have created. Otoh, having a few low ranking Pub official flame throwers firing up the base doesn't hurt.

Now, on to the real issue and the reason why Pubs are experts at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. First, is abortion. I don't care if you're Southern Baptist minister, you have to realize that supporting any policy that severely restricts abortion rights WILL eliminate a voting block that is large enough to swing an election. It may be a voting block you are willing to lose but the reality is the same none the less.

Next, the winning platform is out there and the Pubs have participated in killing it twice. Call it the Tea Party platform, MAGA, America First or populism but Trump showed virtually any candidate with the resources can win (and even beat the rig) by embracing secure borders, free but reciprocal trade, encouraging American manufacturing growth by reducing onerous regs and lower tax rates, asking our allies to act like allies and pay their agreed upon share of the NATO budget, etc, etc.

The establishment Pubs seem to think their voters see them along the lines of Wm. F Buckley Jr. I think the reality is a majority of pub voters see them as the lesser of 2 evils and that's why a clown show like Trump was able to seize control of the party in 2016 and still has a majority of Pub primary voters on his side today.
 
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Well, he right and wrong. Certainly, Joe Biden is currently a huge political asset for the Republican party. I can't think of any one thing Biden is doing other than supporting abortion that resonates with any voting block. It would be a fools errand for the leadership of the Pubs to impeach and give the dems an off ramp from the disaster they have created. Otoh, having a few low ranking Pub official flame throwers firing up the base doesn't hurt.

Now, on to the real issue and the reason why Pubs are experts at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. First, is abortion. I don't care if you're Southern Baptist minister, you have to realize that supporting any policy that severely restricts abortion rights WILL eliminate a voting block that is large enough to swing an election. It may be a voting block you are willing to lose but the reality is the same none the less.

Next, the winning platform is out there and the Pubs have participated in killing it twice. Call it the Tea Party platform, MAGA, America First or populism but Trump showed virtually any candidate with the resources can win (and even beat the rig) by embracing secure borders, free but reciprocal trade, encouraging American manufacturing growth by reducing onerous regs and lower tax rates, asking our allies to act like allies and pay their agreed upon share of the NATO budget, etc, etc.

The establishment Pubs seem to think their voters see them along the lines of Wm. F Buckley Jr. I think the reality is a majority of pub voters see them as the lesser of 2 evils and that's why a clown show like Trump was able to seize control of the party in 2016 and still has a majority of Pub primary voters on his side today.
To win over the persuadable voters who matter, raw MAGA/populism is not a winner. Elements of it are fine. Many of Trump's policies without Trump are a winner. But the D's have overreacted on the culture war and climate and those are becoming winning arguments with the middle, that combined with the economy and border are winners and you don't have to sound like Trump to pull it off.
 
Congresswoman Lauren Boebert of Colorado has advanced a privileged motion on the floor of the House of Representatives to impeach the President of the United States. I find myself in the unusual position of siding with Speaker McCarthy and not the congresswoman. This is, right now, a bad idea poorly timed.

The congresswoman says part of the reason to advance this is because of the President’s handling of the border situation. It would be far wiser, strategically, to impeach the Secretary of Homeland Security who is responsible for the day to day issue. That would more likely get Republican votes and force more Democrats into awkward votes.

On the matter of the President, House Republicans are still digging into the issues related to Hunter Biden, Burisma, Biden family corruption, etc. To advance impeachment now would undermine the investigations that are ongoing. It would also undoubtedly fail in the Senate. In other words, it would undermine existing evidence collection, fail in the United States Senate, and waste everybody’s time.

Beyond impeaching President Biden, Republicans right now seem vastly more interested in fundraising off allegations they are raising about President Biden than showing independent and moderate voters that the GOP has a vision for the future. Part of this is the lack of a leader of the party. Though President Trump is nominally the leader of the party, he is battling nine others for the Republican presidential nomination. That leaves little time to help set a vision for the party.

Back in the 1990’s, Republicans spent an inordinate amount of time attacking the “Clinton Crime Family.” They investigated White Water, Vince Foster, and ultimately impeached Bill Clinton. Along the way, after a massive electoral shift in 1994 that saw the GOP take back Congress for the first time in forty years, Bob Dole lost the presidential race. Republicans had spent more time focusing on allegations of corruption and crime than on policy and vision.

Now, it seems every opportunity Republicans have to get air time is about the “Biden Crime Family.” Voters are worried about the cost of living, the culture, their retirements, and crime. The GOP message is that Joe Biden is corrupt and possibly criminal. Unfortunately for Republicans, swing voters they need to win in 2024 already think both parties are criminally corrupt. Republicans risk drowning out their own successes and policy visions while focused on the Biden family.

Cost of living is both an economic and cultural issue. It is the perfect way for Republicans to win the debate. Families cannot afford vacation. They cannot afford eating out. They can barely afford basic departures from work to the community pool. Every price has gone up. Meanwhile, Democrats are fighting to put boys on girls’ sports teams and shaming parents who dissent. Schools are failing, kids are regressing, and Democrats are far more interested in teaching kids about sex at drag queen story hour than teaching kids math and reading. This issue is ripe for the GOP.

To the extent the GOP is focusing on these issues, their media appearances more often are updates on their Biden investigation. The other day, Riley Gaines testified before the United States Senate. Gaines is a female swimmer who competed against the trans swimmer, Lia Thomas, who maintains male genitals and shared the changing room with female athletes. Gaines spoke of how female athletes were uncomfortable and bullied. Democrats tried to shame her. Progressives mocked her. Republican talk about Hunter and Joe Biden and Congresswoman Boebert’s impeachment motion overshadowed all the news and drama from the Senate hearing.

Republicans can and should investigate Biden family corruption. An impeachment motion would short circuit that investigation and it would go nowhere in the Senate. Republicans who lament a politically charged Justice Department cannot expect the Attorney General to take their allegations against the Biden family seriously. If they impeached the Homeland Security Secretary, they could highlight the border issue more dramatically. If they focused on tying economic and culture issues together, they could persuade independent voters to support them. Right now, the GOP seems stuck reliving the 1990’s, hoping for a blue stained dress.
The Repuglicans are a joke. I started calling them the Washington Generals a few years ago. Just replace "Globetrotters" with "Democrats" and replace "Generals" with "Repuglicans"

Washington Generals
washingtongenerals.com
The Washington Generals are an American basketball team who play exhibition games against the Harlem Globetrotters. The team has also played under several different aliases in their history as the Globetrotters' perennial opponents.
 
The Repuglicans are a joke. I started calling them the Washington Generals a few years ago. Just replace "Globetrotters" with "Democrats" and replace "Generals" with "Repuglicans"

Washington Generals
washingtongenerals.com
The Washington Generals are an American basketball team who play exhibition games against the Harlem Globetrotters. The team has also played under several different aliases in their history as the Globetrotters' perennial opponents.
When I saw the Harlem Globetrotters as a kid around 1971-72, their opponent the Washington Generals went by the name of the Boston Shamrocks.
 
To win over the persuadable voters who matter, raw MAGA/populism is not a winner. Elements of it are fine. Many of Trump's policies without Trump are a winner. But the D's have overreacted on the culture war and climate and those are becoming winning arguments with the middle, that combined with the economy and border are winners and you don't have to sound like Trump to pull it off.

Of course the MAGA agenda is a winner, it literally blew away the Bush brand of politics and defeated the Clinton machine with the weight of DC stacked against Trump. Est pubs continue thinking that giving their voters what they campaign on is a losing strategy but every time they run a candidate that is a more of the same candidate, they lose the general.

Imo, the Pub base is finished with a party that promises secure borders, lower taxes, less burdensome regulation and then continues to allow the drift to dependence on China for our manufacturing, the ME for our energy, refuses to curb illegal immigration and acts like somebody shot their momma when a POTUS asks our allies to buy our energy and pay their share for their defense. Imo, the Pubs will either embrace the winning agenda and supplant Trump or they'll continue to wonder why Trump pulls over 50% of their base.
 
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