Look at Trump's 2018 tariffs on Canada: loud threats of economic ruin preceded the USMCA deal, a win for all.
His 2019 Greenland purchase pitch: dismissed as absurd, yet it sparked talks on U.S. Arctic influence and continuation of that talk has had actual positive effects like Denmark's strengthening of their security presence around Greenland and other deals in the works.
Logic says annexation isn't realistic. It’s a negotiation starter, not an actual war plan, consistent with his pattern of flexing on allies for results. Trump's words can be justified as a strategic move to address imbalances.
It’s a calculated move to force realignment and protect national interests, risking short-term strain for long-term gain. Diplomacy isn’t about perpetual harmony, it’s about results. Diplomatic relationships exist to serve the interests of the nations involved.
The US has used blunt rhetoric or threats of trade penalties against allies in the past for specific outcomes...I can provide plenty of examples from multiple POTUS's. Diplomacy isn’t about perpetual harmony but about securing a nation’s interests and sometimes, a jolt to the relationship is the most effective way to achieve that.
Biden’s Putin remark that I referenced wasn’t branded a war declaration, yet Trump’s 2017 “fire and fury” to North Korea was treated as "dangerous". But, neither led to war. It was posturing.
You demand we take Trump literally, but what about Biden’s “MAGA Republicans threaten the very foundation of our republic” speech? Was that inciting violence against conservatives? Did Schumer’s “you will pay the price” to justices a literal threat (one dude took it as such, fwiw). Yet Trump’s words get “unamerican” labels.
The “believe his every word” standard ignore the actual results of his approach to getting things done...right or wrong, even if others' words aren't treated the same. My original point holds: it’s absurd to panic over one player’s bluster when the other’s gets a pass.
You can deny it does, but there is a history of others also hurting allied relationships for no clear diplomatic gain:
- Biden’s sub deal with Australia and the UK canceled a $66 billion French submarine contract with no prior warning. France recalled its ambassador. No gains at all with France (be careful citing economic gain is ok by pissing off a "friend")
- Biden’s remarks on Nord Stream 2, without talking to Germany first only pissed them off and gave no strategic win beyond public posturing
- Biden's dig in Ireland regarding Brexit upset the UK. Diplomatic benefit? None.
- What did Biden's "indiscriminate bombing" jab at Israel about Gaza do? It gave no diplomatic leverage and only inflamed them on an obviously emotional subject.
- Biden told the Saudis “there will be consequences” threat after they OPEC cut oil production. Nothing happened and again only upset them. Again, harsh words with no resulting diplomatic gain.
Should I go on? I have more Biden, but I have 8 years worth of the Obama administration I could dig into...and I haven't even started on words by admins...not just a POTUS.
Again, the double standard: Trump’s rhetoric gets dissected as uniquely dangerous, while others can jab allies for "reasons", yet they get a pass with less scrutiny, lack of tangible gain.
I'll make my own opinion perfectly clear: Diplomacy sometimes means hurting feelings. I don't actually disagree with some of the non-Trump examples I listed or still have in my back pocket. That's the game and not taking the long view is a poor approach.
Thank you for unintentionally making my point for me. Biden's words could have legitimately risked war, even if I think they were bluster, because Putin could have misread them during an obviously stressful moment during a war.
That's why admin walked them back. Trump's intent is to make a deal. You may not like the approach, which is fine. But, it's certainly not a serious intent to actually annex another country. I cannot describe to you how ludicrous that is.
It's diplomacy, right or wrong. But, both you and Utley are arguing that it signals
actual intent. As I addressed above, that's a double standard.
1. You're wrong. It's not an "inherent act of war". Really trying to avoid sounding arrogant (not my intent), but I have a literal Master's Degree in this. Context is everything. There are numerous other factors that would have to be present to make those words inherently an act of war. They aren't there.
You could argue they are escalatory...but, without additional escalatory actions, it's simply bluster. It's bargaining...right or wrong and whether you agree with using that approach or not.
2. Of course I know who he is. But, he has no role in Trump’s second term. Trump’s style predates Bannon’s idea. Did Saul Alinsky’s radical tactics influence Obama’s presidency? Bill Ayers? Michael Moore? Van Jones? Anita Dunn?
Biden and Linda Sarsour? Neera Tanden? RFK Jr?
Just because someone has ties to (or was even once a part of an administration) does not automatically mean they hold influence or a POTUS will adopt any idea or policy they put forth.
EDIT: Why am I spending this much time on my day off after working 12's all week for an exercise? 🤣