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Good listen, here are the cliffs:
1. Mclaughlin is the son of John McLaughlin who did the McLaughlin Group
2. Considered to be the #1 Pollster in the country (sure that is debatable but has been referenced several times)
3. Oriley went state by state and looked at Real Clear Politics # and asked John to compare to his internal polling, He was evasive but implied their #'s were close or slightly higher.
4. He mentioned that in 2012 he had Romney up 1% going into final week and media and a Romney gaffe completely turned the race around with Obama winning by 4% (implying don't count your chickens before they hatch)
5. Expect more negative coverage over the next 2 weekends as media and Dems are throwing everything against the wall
6. He thinks its down to turning out the base this time as there are little undecideds at this time
7. Referenced Ga as a state that had tightened up election laws and F2F voting is the norm almost exclusively. Implied that Republican States would draft similar legislation soon. Said that was where he had Trump with his biggest lead in swing states and implied this was a cause /effect of change in election law.
8.. He and Oriley said by Monday before the election they could predict with almost 90% certainty who was going to win as he would do polling thru weekend of November 3rd.
Good listen, he is conservative but a business men, so seems to shoot down the middle and less partisan than most.
