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The Big XII could be out of the CFP ...

This was just brought to my attention:

- The rules give AQs to the top 5 conferences, P4 or G6.
- We've all assumed that the G6 will be the Mountain West with BSU, and then the 4 P4 conferences.

Not so fast, my friend:

Currently, the CFP has BYU at 14, Colorado at 16 and ASU at 21. They play each other to some degree but all 3 have a shot to win the B12.

Meanwhile, Army is sitting there undefeated and ranked 19. The key thing is they play Notre Dame this week. A win by them should move them up considerably. Everyone has been comparing BSU and Army, but the real comparison should be BYU/Colo/ASU and Army. If Army is ranked higher than the B12 winner, then the American Ath Conference would get the 5th AQ, and the B12 would be left out.

I am a fan of whoever plays Notre Dame everyweekend.
Who here is not a fan of Army whenever they take the field (members of the Navy and other branches excluded).
Dawgs should be fans of Army this weekend for those reasons, and to just watch this unfold.

Let's talk about a beast

I'm sure there was an in-game thread about this, however, not only is Brett Thorson an All-American punter, but for the first time ever (because no one returns his punts) the dude is tackling like Ray Lewis.

Our punter isn't afraid to knock your mouthpiece out and then hit you with some trash talk. Somebody get this man some awards!

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Marquette deep dive

Ok. Well. They are just a little scary. But I see some interesting stats that give me some hope. If you are wondering they are three guard dominant. Really, really, really good guards whose stats between them are freaking ugly. Kam jones is a star. Shooting 63 percent from the field for the season. 48 percent from three. He is a superstar. Sadly, he is the worst shooting starting guard from three percentage wise amongst their starting guards. Ross shoots 50 percent from three. Mitchell shoots it 66 percent from three so far. This group also manages to average 8 steals per game between them. They will be in our grill all night. As a team they shoot free throws well, but kam and Mitchell their primary ball handlers haven’t shot free throws at a high percentage so far this season. Could be interesting. They are possibly the best three guard combo in the country.

Ok. For the positive. Their best big Joplin is not a big guy. He is a sr. He is probably very comparable to rj. Strong and older. Seen a ton in college. He doesn’t shoot it much from three or very well by stats. He is a great on ball defender and rebounder. Their other big who plays starter minutes is a 6’11 New Zealander. He doesn’t shoot a very high percentage. I think he can shoot it from distance. But he hasn’t done so very well this year. 26 percent from three. 32 from the field.

They don’t go very deep in their bench. Their backup forwards are both freshman. 6’8 and 6’9. They don’t shoot three pointers. Not a single one attempted. Their backup guards also have a zero shooting percentage from three. I am guessing they don’t take them much.

This team isn’t deep, but those three guards are nasty. Their bigs are role players and great at their job. Their team defense on the perimeter is off the charts. One other very interesting stat. They don’t rim protect much. Very few blocked shots. This is going to test Silas, blue, Lawrence and Leffew big time. Especially Silas. Their team is long. Everyone is 6’5 to 6’11. They flat get after you. Should be interesting to see if we can get after them on the boards. Their guards rebound very well, but their bigs not so much.

Last but not least, they don’t turn the ball over. 8 turnovers a game. Freaking 8 a game. That is good for a half for us.

Rankings---Most wins against current top 20 teams

Top 20 wins apparently mean very little to the blue-ribbon CFP committee.

Most wins against current top 20 teams:


All Big 10 teams - Combined 4 (2 by Oregon, 1 by Ohio State, and 1 by Nebraska)
Georgia 3
Oregon 2
Alabama 2
Ole Miss 2
All Big 12 teams - Combined 2 (1 by BYU, 1 by Kansas State)
Ohio State 1
Notre Dame 1
Tennessee 1
BYU 1
Boise State 0
PSU 0
Indiana 0
Miami 0
Texas 0
SMU 0
Colorado 0
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If you want a home playoff game…

You need to cheer for some teams to lose:

ND
Penn St
Bama
Ole Miss

Right now, if chalk wins out, we’re in line to land somewhere around 9 or 10 at 10-2. I’d Ohio St beats Indiana, the B1G loser will be the 5, followed by Penn St, ND and Bama.

There’s your 4 home games. We need 1 or 2 of them to lose. It’s that simple.

But we control our destiny. Win 7 games in a row and we’re national champions.

The Disadvantage of Losing to Good Teams — Lose to $hi++y teams instead

(Sorry I’m late to rant against committee but I’m still processing)

It’s counterintuitive but true that when you lose to good/ranked teams, specifically ranked near you in the polls w/ same # of L’s, then you’re actually at a disadvantage because the human element applies a head-to-head test and ranks you behind those teams.

However, those same human evaluators would never suggest that the by Bama & Ole Miss to Vanderbilt or Kentucky suggest that Vanderbilt or Kentucky are better than them. Never mind that because vandy & UK are shitty.

It’s too illogical for me to acknowledge that Vandy/UK aren’t better than Bama/ole miss because best team doesn’t always win H2H doesn’t matter; yet, Bama/ole miss are better than Georgia because of H2H. I would understand if our argument wasn’t supported by quality wins but we have more high-quality wins &/also “better” losses. Crazy!
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