I've long said the best postseason spot is to not qualify for the conference championship game and get a 5-8 seed so you host a home game.
You get the bye week during conference championship week AND a home playoff game.
The rest of this post is predicated on Georgia winning out and looking much better than it did on Saturday. Tall order, I know...but this is still a very talented team.
First, let's look at the SEC standings and remaining conf. opponents:
Tennessee (5-1): at Georgia, at Vandy
Texas A&M (5-1): at Auburn, vs. Texas
Texas (4-1): at Arkansas, vs. Kentucky, at Texas A&M
Georgia (5-2): vs. Tennessee
Ole Miss (4-2): at Florida, vs. Miss. St
Alabama (4-2): at Oklahoma, vs. Auburn
Missouri (3-2): at South Carolina, at Mississippi State, vs. Arkansas
LSU (3-2): at Florida, vs. Vandy, vs. Oklahoma
My guess on how those end up (Vandy and South Carolina are biggest spoilers):
Texas: 7-1
Georgia: 6-2
Texas A&M: 6-2
Tennessee: 6-2
Ole Miss: 6-2
Alabama: 6-2
LSU: 6-2
Missouri: 5-3
Texas is in. There is a six-way tie for second.
Here are the tiebreakers.
Because that cluster of teams would not have a set of common conference opponents, we move to tiebreaker D: winning percentage of conference opponents.
In this case, that would be:
Alabama (0.516)
LSU (0.5)
Georgia (0.453)
Texas A&M (0.453)
Ole Miss (0.375)
Tennessee (0.343)
SEC Championship would be Texas vs. Alabama. Georgia fans would want to root like hell for Alabama. Let's say they won it.
Alabama gets a BYE in the CFP. All SEC teams get kicked down from there. Georgia and Texas would each have two losses, but Georgia beat Texas head-to-head. That would put Georgia as the second-highest SEC team. LSU's third loss to USC keeps them down.
VERY likely the second SEC team in the dance gets one of the seeds 5-8 and gets to host a home game without playing in Atlanta. It's an ideal spot if Georgia can get its act together.
